Blackburn entertain Hull at Ewood Park in Tuesday night's live televised action from the Championship. Mark O'Haire shares his best bet...
"It’s a wager that’s proven profitable in nine of the duos combined 12 fixtures thus far, with Rovers just seconds away from making that 10 from 12 at the weekend"
Blackburn denied at the death
Blackburn boss Tony Mowbray said Saturday's 2-2 draw with Luton descended into a 'farce' but said his side had more than enough chances to secure all three points. Rovers led 2-0 courtesy of first half goals by Tyrhys Dolan and Harry Pickering but were made to settle for a point after Luke Berry came off the bench to score twice, including a 98th minute equaliser.
A frantic and heated encounter at Ewood Park saw nine players booked, with Mowbray feeling referee Oliver Langford lost control of the game and too many challenges went unpunished. He said: "We're left frustrated and disappointed; I think we did more than enough to win the football match. Unfortunately, the officials made a farce of the game."
Sam Gallagher started through the middle for Blackburn up top with Ben Brereton and Dolan on the flanks as Ian Poveda missed out through injury. Hayden Carter returns after serving a one-match ban, whilst Bradley Johnson and Tayo Edun only returned to full training this week and will therefore will not be considered for Tuesday night's tussle.
Hull pick up a point
Hull supremo Grant McCann said his Tigers players were worthy of their point away at Swansea on Saturday, after City held the hosts to a 0-0 draw. While the Humbersiders offered little going forward, the visitors defended resolutely with goalkeeper Matt Ingram producing a string of saves, albeit with efforts largely from distance.
Ingram's big moment came when he palmed away a goalbound free-kick from Matt Grimes in the first half, keeping the score goalless as Hull went into the break. Swansea enjoyed 69% of the ball overall and McCann said, "I thought we defended well. We limited them to shots from long range. For us we feel as if that is a good point away from home."
Failing to score in Wales meant Hull have now fired blanks in their last five outings, although back-to-back clean sheets pleased the away side. McCann had shuffled his pack on Saturday by making three changes and bringing George Moncur, Mallik Wilks and Josh Magennis back into the starting XI. His hope is now that the Tigers can find their range in the final-third.
Blackburn and Hull have crossed swords on 12 occasions in league action over the past 30 years with Rovers enjoying the upper hand. The hosts have taken top honours in each of the last four renewals and have claimed a W7-D3-L2 supremacy over the Tigers during that 12-game sample. That includes a W4-D1-L1 return at Ewood Park against City.
Blackburn 2.305/4 have posted W2-D3-L1 from their opening six Championship encounters. However, Tony Mowbray's men have lost the Expected Goals (xG) battle four times this term - the home side are also ranked inside the bottom-eight when viewing performance data ratio returns, including shots, on-target efforts and chances created thus far.
Hull 3.052/1 started the season with a thrilling 4-1 victory at Preston but have since found the going tougher on their return to the second-tier. The Tigers have fired five successive blanks (W0-D2-L3) whilst averaging just 0.54 xG per-game during their recent lean spell. Grant McCann's men were comfortably beaten in the xG stakes in all five of those fixtures.
Blackburn have delivered Both Teams To Score 1.654/6 profit in all six of their league matches this season but with Hull producing BTTS No in their most recent five Championship contests, there's little appeal in both sides obliging at the prices on offer. Instead, backing Blackburn Double Chance and Under 3.5 Goals stands out at 1.758/11 on the Bet Builder.
It's a wager that's proven profitable in nine of the duos combined 12 fixtures thus far, with Rovers just seconds away from making that 10 from 12 at the weekend. The selection us allows us to support the home side winning 1-0, 2-0, 3-0 or 2-1, as well as the 0-0 or 1-1 stalemates at Ewood Park this Tuesday night.
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