Man Utd in bad form
Manchester United head to the Metropolitano to take on Atletico Madrid on Tuesday.
It's their second game back in the Champions League after a two season sabbatical and their European campaign got off to a perfect start.
The Red Devils beat Sabah FK 4-0 but a trip to the Spanish capital is an entirely different proposition, especially considering United's form.
The visitors haven't won since their last European game (D2 L2) and that victory in UCL MD1 was their only win since the end of August.
Michael Carrick's side squandered a goal advantage with a man advantage against Tottenham on the weekend, were fortunate to get a point at Fulham, let a two goal lead slip in the Carabao Cup to lose against Brighton and lost at home to the 10 men of Manchester City.
And given the recent poor run, it's hard to make a case for them here, even at 13/53.60 with the Sportsbook.
Atleti have only lost twice all season and come into this clash having won their last four on the spin, which includes a win over Real Madrid before the international break.
Prior to their defeat at Anfield, Diego Simeone's side were running a little hot in terms of attacking numbers, outperforming their xG in an unsustainable way.
But since the defeat to Liverpool in this competition, Atleti have netted 11 times and racked up an xG of 10.42.
So, although the 10/111.91 about a home win is tempting, I'd rather take a bigger punt on Atletico Madrid to win and both teams to score at an industry best price of 11/53.20 with the Sportsbook.
This bet has clicked in both of the hosts' last two games.
Back Atletico Madrid to win and both teams to score
I previewed Atletico's defeat at Liverpool, touting Alejandro Grimaldo to score or assist.
Heading into that clash, the full back hadn't registered either for his new club and didn't manage to have a hand in a goal at Anfield at 3/14.00.
The following game for Atleti, Grimaldo scored from the spot and set up another and has since scored another two goals.
So, across his last four games, Grimaldo has scored three goals and assisted once.
Naturally, backing him at an industry best price of 15/82.88 to score or assist is the main play on Tuesday.
Back Alejandro Grimaldo to score or assist
I also cannot resist a smaller punt on the 6/17.00 about Grimaldo to score anytime or the 75/176.00 for Grimaldo to score 2 goals or more, the latter is another industry best price.
Back Alejandro Grimaldo to score anytime
Back Alejandro Grimaldo to score 2 goals or more
Back Atletico to win, both teams to score, Alejandro Grimaldo to score anytime and Grimaldo 1+ assist