Australia v New Zealand World Cup Tips: 11/4 Boult to finally strike

• Kiwis outsiders at 2.466/4

• Boult has fine record

• Australia could recall Head

Australia v New Zealand
Saturday 28 October, 09:30
TV: Live on Sky Sports

Australia v New Zealand World Cup team news

The bad news for those hoping for a slip from the top four - and perhaps the Kiwis - is that Australia are about to get stronger. Travis Head's return feels imminent and he will be a significant upgrade on Marnus Labuschagne. A hammering of the Netherlands could mean the Aussies are finding their range.

Probable XI: Head, Warner, M Marsh, Smith, Inglis, Maxwell, Green, Cummins, Starc, Hazlewood, Zampa

Kane Williamson remains a doubt so Will Young gets a stay of execution. They could do with more from Trent Boult, who has been strangley quiet. Tim Southee remains on the sidelines a an option (fitness permitting) but it would be a bld move to axe Boult.

Probable XI: Conway, Young, Ravindra, Mitchell, Latham, Phillips, Chapman, Santner, Ferguson, Henry, Boult

Australia v New Zealand World Cup pitch report

The Dharamsala surface has offered enough to keep the bowlers keen. There have been batting collapses from the side batting first in the four matches. But two, Afghanistan and Netherlands, hung on to cause collapses of their own. This is one to go unders with a partnership in the first innings. New Zealand feel away against India on this ground last time out.

Australia v New Zealand World Cup match odds

New Zealand have a dreadful record historicaly against their old rivals in the World Cups. It's eight defeats in 11. They also had a three-match series to zip last year.

Not surprisingly Australia are hot favourites at 1.674/6 with New Zealand 2.466/4. There is reason to believe the ouitsiders can give a good account of themselves and with a partnership batting first, a trade to evens is defintely on the cards.

Australia v New Zealand World Cup player bets

David Warner is the win-rate value at 11/43.75 for top Aussie bat and likewise Adam Zampa at 3/14.00 for top bowler. For the Kiwis, Will Young has the best win rate with the bat but he may be a short in-play with a couple of scoring shots on the board. Early on in his career he's struggling against the best attack. Sportsbook go under 25.5 at 5/61.84 pre-toss.

We will keep faith with Trent Boult as he's overdue a success for top bowler and he was top series wicket-taker in the series last year. He has taken more wickets against Australia than anyone else and only versus West Indies does he have a superior strike rate.