Caribbean Premier League Tips Matches 4 & 5: Fletcher due a score at 7/2

• Falcons need to reverse slide

• Nyeem Young too big at 30s

• Keep faith with Amir at 3s

• CPL team-by-team guide HERE

St Kitts & Nevis Patriots v St Lucia Kings
Monday 2 September, 00.00
TV: Live on TNT

Patriots v St Lucia Kings CPL team news

Pats reverted to type after beating Falcons in the opener. They conceded a massive 250 against TKR and were well-beaten. They look to be reliant on Tristan Stubbs who is in good striking form with the bat.

Probable XI: Lewis, Fletcher, Mayers, Louis, Stubbs, Rutherford, Smith, Drakes, John, Nortje, Shamsi

Kings suffered a severe blow losing Heinrich Klaasen on the eve of the tournament. One wouldn't be surprised if it damns their chances of a title. Replacement Tim Seifert isn't comparable.

Possible XI: Du Plessis, Charles, Seifert (wkt), Chase, Wiese, Pierre, Forde, Joseph, Descarte, Noor, Clarke

Patriots v St Lucia Kings CPL pitch report

More than 190 has been busted four times in seven and Warner Park is a renowned road. Trinbago's 250 wasn't entirely surprising. A par line of 182.5 may not be high enough. Look out for Sportsbook total sixes at overs 17.5. A solid buy.

Patriots v St Lucia Kings CPL match prediction

Patriots are chalked up as early favourites at 1.8910/11. It could be that this settles as a choice affair.

The strategy is clear, though. Back the team that bats first to take a big old chunk out of their price due to a high score at the break.

If we are wrong about a choice affair, Kings could be around the 2.1011/10 mark and they are more than capable of making that into 1.654/6 territory which is a decent wedge.

Patriots v St Lucia Kings CPL pitch report

Faf Du Plessis has been boosted to 23/103.30 for top Kings bat. He wins 38% of the time in the last two years so there is an edge there. On such a flat wicket the 2/13.00 that he scores a half-century mya have more appeal. For Patriots the 7/24.50 that Andre Fletcher, still with a 33% win rate, delivers is worth a go. The 9/110.00 that a century is scored will also prove popular because of the road-like surface.

Antigua & Barbuda Falcons v Barbados Royals
Sunday 1 September, 15.00
TV: Live on Sky Sports

Falcons v Royals CPL team news

Falcons are missing the potential for fast starts from Brandon King still. Ingenue Teddy Bishop is struggling. They are two defeats from two and suffered a heartbreaking last-ball shocker against Guyana.

Probable XI: Bishop, Fakhar, James, Billings, Andrew, Imad, Allen, Primus, Springer, Green, Amir

Royals have revamped their bowling, adding Maheesh Theekshana and Naveen-ul-Haq. They were the most expensive bowling unit in the competition last term. Nyeem Young is an all-rounder to watch out for.

Probable XI: De Kock (wkt), Cornwall, Athanaze, Powell, Miller, Holder, Nyeem, Theekshana, McCoy, Naveen, Simmonds

Falcons v Royals CPL pitch report

Scores of 163 and 168 so far suggest a decent wicket. The market will be wise to that, though, The par line could settle at late 160s. The edge may be backing overs in the anticipation that Royals, if bowling first, still have poor plans in the field.

Falcons v Royals CPL match prediction

Falcons really should be two from two. They had success over Patriots and Guyana in their pocket. It must mean that confidence has taken a hit.

They're not a bet to let run at 2.3811/8. We're not convinced that Royals are a particularly smart team, though, in the field so the hosts could well flip these odds. A trade is best.

Falcons v Royals CPL player bets

Jason Holder has a win rate on top bowler in the last two years in CPL at 33%. So Sportsbook's 7/24.50 is a bet. Staying with Royals we'll take the 30/131.00 that Nyeem is their top bat. He won twice last year. We stick with Mohammad Amir for top Falcons bowler at 3/14.00 because it's too big for how often he wins.

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