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Australian Open 2024: Men's singles form guide shows Novak Djokovic's dominance

Novak Djokovic chasing an 11th Australian Open victory
Novak's win last year was his 10th in Australia

Will 10-time Melbourne champion Novak Djokovic continue to dominate men's tennis this year? Andy Swales provides the data and analysis ahead of 2024's first Grand Slam which starts on Monday...

  • Novak 10/111.91 chasing Grand Slam title No 25

  • World No 1 has reached final in 10 of last 11 Slams

  • Sinner 13/27.50 ready to challenge for maiden Slam success


New Year, new season, familiar favourite!

With the first Grand Slam of 2024 just a few days away, the favourite for the men's singles title will once again be Novak Djokovic 10/111.91.

Not only is he the world No 1, the Serbian heads to Melbourne chasing an 11th Australian Open win of his career.

Another title later this month would make it five Aussie successes in a row for Djokovic, who was unable to participate two years ago because of his stance regarding the Covid vaccination.

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In 2023, he reached all four Grand Slam finals, winning three and losing a thrilling five-setter at Wimbledon.

He turns 37 in May but his dominance of the men's game remains intact having reached the final in 10 of the last 11 Grand Slams in which he competed.

Of the 24 Slams he has won, 14 were achieved on hard court, which is a daunting statistic for all the other 127 men's singles entrants.

Djokovic last failed to reach the second week of a Slam seven years ago, and there are very few players who can travel to Melbourne Park believing they have a genuine chance to dethrone the current King of Tennis.

Who are Djokovic's challengers Down Under?

The three standouts are Carlos Alcaraz 16/54.20, Daniil Medvedev 10/111.00 and Jannik Sinner 13/27.50.

Alcaraz was the player who denied Djokovic a clean sweep of Slam titles in 2023.

The 20-year-old Spaniard battled back from the loss of the opening set to win the Wimbledon final in five, since when he has lost twice to Djokovic.

Alcaraz's other Slam success came on the hard courts of New York in September 2022 and he missed last year's Australian Open through injury.

As for Medvedev, all of his five Slam finals to date have been on hard court - including two losses in Melbourne.

He's lost twice to Nadal in finals and twice to Djokovic. However, he did beat the Serb in straight sets when winning the US Open in 2021.

Danill Medvedev.jpg

Arriving quickly on the outside is Sinner, the 22-year-old Italian who ended 2023 as the world No 4.

Although Sinner is yet to reach a Grand Slam final he should be full of confidence following a strong run during autumn.

He beat Medvedev in the finals of Beijing and Vienna, lost in the final of the ATP Tour Championship in Turin, and led Italy to Davis Cup glory in Spain.

In Turin he beat Djokovic during the round-robin fixtures only to lose to the same player in the final. And, in Beijing, he accounted for Alcaraz at the semi-final stage.

But will any of these three aforementioned names be a match for Djokovic these next two weeks?

Last 10 Australian Open Performances (2014-23)

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Last 10 Grand Slams (selected players)

Position

  • 1–5
  • 6–15
  • 16–25
Name U23 W23 F23 A23 U22 W22 F22 A22 U21 W21
Novak Djokovic Won RU Won Won Won QF RU Won
Carlos Alcaraz SF Won SF Won R4 QF R3 QF R2
Daniil Medvedev RU SF R1 R3 R4 R4 RU Won R4
Jannik Sinner R4 SF R2 R4 QF QF R4 QF R4 R1
Andrey Rublev QF QF R3 QF QF QF R3 R3 R4
Stefanos Tsitsipas R2 R4 QF RU R1 R3 R4 SF R3 R1
Alexander Zverev QF R3 SF R2 SF R4 SF R4
Holger Rune R1 QF QF R4 R3 R1 R1
Hubert Hurkacz R2 R4 R3 R4 R2 R1 R4 R2 R2 SF
Taylor Fritz QF R2 R3 R2 R1 QF R2 R4 R2 R3
Casper Ruud R2 R2 RU R2 RU R2 RU R2 R1
Alex de Minaur R4 R2 R2 R4 R3 R4 R1 R4 R1 R1
Tommy Paul R4 R3 R2 SF R3 R4 R1 R2 R1
Grigor Dimitrov R3 R4 R4 R3 R2 R1 R3 R2 R2 R2
Karen Khachanov R1 QF SF SF R4 R3 R1 QF
Frances Tiafoe QF R3 R3 R3 SF R4 R2 R2 R4 R3
Ben Shelton SF R2 R1 QF R1
Cameron Norrie R3 R2 R3 R3 R4 SF R3 R1 R1 R3
Nicolas Jarry R3 R3 R4 R2 R1
Ugo Humbert R1 R1 R2 R3 R1 R3 R1 R1 R1 R1
Francisco Cerundolo R2 R2 R4 R3 R1 R1 R1
Adrian Mannarino R3 R2 R1 R2 R1 R2 R1 R4 R2 R1
Tallon Griekspoor R1 R1 R2 R3 R1 R2 R2 R2 R2 R1
Sebastian Korda R1 R1 R2 QF R2 R3 R3 R1 R4
Jan-Lennard Struff R1 R1 R1 R1 R1 R1
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina R3 R3 R3 R2 R4 R2 R1 R2 R1 R1
Lorenzo Musetti R1 R3 R4 R1 R3 R1 R1 R1 R2 R1
Sebastian Baez R3 R1 R1 R1 R1 R2 R2 R2
Felix Auger-Aliassime R1 R1 R1 R4 R2 R1 R4 QF SF QF
Tomas Martin Etcheverry R2 R2 QF R2 R1 R1 R1 R1
Jiri Lehecka R1 R4 R2 QF R1 R1 R1 R1
Alexander Bublik R1 R4 R1 R1 R2 R3 R2 R2 R2 R3
Laslo Djere R3 R3 R1 R2 R1 R1 R2 R1 R1 R2
Christopher Eubanks R2 QF R1 R2 R2 R1
Aslan Karatsev R3 R2 R2 R1 R1 R1 R3 R3 R1
Arthur Fils R2 R1 R1
Borna Coric R1 R1 R3 R1 R2 R2
Daniel Evans R3 R1 R1 R3 R3 R1 R2 R3 R4 R3
Roman Safiullin R2 QF R1 R1
Alexei Popyrin R1 R1 R1 R3 R2 R1 R1 R1 R3 R1
Mackenzie McDonald R2 R1 R1 R3 R1 R2 R3 R2 R2 R1
Andy Murray R2 R2 R3 R3 R2 R2 R1 R3
Sebastian Ofner R2 R1 R4 R1
Matteo Arnaldi R4 R1 R2
Max Purcell R1 R1 R2 R1 R1 R1
Lorenzo Sonego R2 R1 R4 R2 R1 R3 R3 R3 R1 R4
Yoshihito Nishioka R1 R1 R4 R4 R1 R1 R1 R1 R1 R2
Alexander Shevchenko R1 R1 R2
Stan Wawrinka R3 R3 R2 R1 R1 R1 R1
Botic van de Zandschulp R2 R2 R1 R2 R2 R4 R3 R3 QF R2
Yannick Hanfmann R1 R1 R2 R1 R2 R1 R1
Dusan Lajovic R1 R1 R1 R1 R1 R2 R1 R2 R2 R2
J.J. Wolf R1 R2 R1 R4 R3
Miomir Kecmanovic R1 R1 R1 R1 R2 R3 R3 R4 R1 R2
Jordan Thompson R1 R2 R1 R1 R2 R2 R1 R1 R2 R3
Daniel Altmaier R2 R1 R3 R1 R1 R1 R1 R1
Roberto Bautista Agut R1 R2 R4 R1 R2 R3 R3 R4
Zhizhen Zhang R3 R1 R3 R1 R1 R1
Marton Fucsovics R2 R3 R2 R3 R2 R1 R2 R1 R1 QF
Marcos Giron R1 R2 R3 R1 R1 R2 R1 R1 R2 R2
Jack Draper R4 R1 R1 R3 R2 R1
Aleksandar Vukic R1 R2 R1 R2
Roberto Carballes Baena R2 R2 R2 R1 R2 R1 R2 R1 R2 R1
Fabian Marozsan R2 R1
Thanasi Kokkinakis R1 R3 R2 R1 R2 R1 R1
Nuno Borges R1 R1 R2 R1 R2 R1 R1
Pavel Kotov R1 R1 R1 R1
Christopher O'Connell R2 R3 R1 R1 R1 R1 R3 R1
Emil Ruusuvuori R1 R2 R2 R1 R2 R2 R1 R2 R1
Pedro Cachin R1 R1 R2 R1 R3 R2
Rinky Hijikata R4 R2 R1
Borna Gojo R4 R1 R2
Benjamin Bonzi R3 R1 R3 R2 R2 R1 R2 R2
Gael Monfils R2 R2 QF R3 R2
Taro Daniel R1 R1 R2 R2 R1 R1 R1 R3 R1
Richard Gasquet R1 R1 R1 R1 R3 R3 R2 R2 R1 R2
Dominik Koepfer R1 R1 R1 R2 R2 R3
Tomas Machac R1 R1 R1 R2
Thiago Seyboth Wild R3
Bernabe Zapata Miralles R2 R1 R1 R1 R1 R1 R4 R2 R1
Alexandre Muller R1 R2 R1
Cristian Garin R1 R2 QF R3 R3 R2 R4
Juan Pablo Varillas R2 R1 R4 R1 R1
Gregoire Barrere R1 R2 R1 R1 R2 R1
Alejandro Tabilo R2 R2 R1
Jaume Munar R2 R1 R1 R1 R2 R2 R1 R1 R1
Constant Lestienne R1 R1 R1 R2
Federico Coria R1 R1 R1 R2 R1 R1 R1 R1 R1
Albert Ramos-Vinolas R1 R1 R1 R1 R2 R1 R2 R1 R2 R1
Luca Van Assche R1 R1 R2 R1
Maximilian Marterer R3 R1 R2 R1 R1
Matteo Berrettini R2 R4 R1 QF SF QF RU
Daniel Elahi Galan R1 R4 R1 R1 R3 R3 R2
Facundo Diaz Acosta R1 R1
Arthur Rinderknech R3 R1 R2 R1 R2 R1 R1 R2 R2 R1
Alex Michelsen R2
Dominic Thiem R2 R1 R1 R1 R1 R1
Yosuke Watanuki R1 R2 R2
Quentin Halys R1 R3 R1 R1 R1 R2 R1 R1
Flavio Cobolli R1
Jason Kubler R1 R2 R2 R2 R2 R4 R2
Tomas Barrios Vera R2 R1
Hugo Gaston R2 R1 R1 R2 R3 R1
Denis Shapovalov R4 R3 R3 R3 R2 R1 QF R3 SF
James Duckworth R1 R2 R1 R1 R1 R1 R3
Marc Polmans R2
Jiri Vesely R3 R2 R1 R1 R3 R1 R1 R1 R2
Marin Cilic R4 SF R4 R1 R3
Milos Raonic R1 R2

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