ATP Vienna Tips: Motivated Misolic a tempting price against Cerundolo

• Big names are competing this week in Vienna and Basel

• Filip Misolic should be keen to go well at home

• Sean Calvert is backing Misolic as underdog against Cerundolo

As the 2022 ATP Tour season nears its conclusion the players are in Vienna and Basel for the last ATP 500 tournaments of the season - the Erste Bank Open and the Swiss Indoors Basel.

The Swiss Indoors hasn't been played on the tour since Roger Federer won the last of his 10 Basel titles here in 2019, due to coronavirus, but they still use a GreenSet indoor hard surface that's about medium paced.

There's around 265m of altitude in Basel, but the average serve holds in the last four editions works out at 80%, which would make it about average for an indoor hard court event, but that's not to say it'll be the same exact surface and balls three years later.

Vienna doesn't tend to change much, with its Rebound Ace indoor hard surface being one of the quicker ones around (there's 220m of altitude in Vienna) and if we took its service hold average of the last four years (83%) into account it would make it the number one indoor hard event of all in terms of holds.

As far as underdog winners are concerned, Basel's tendency for few upsets makes it one of the worst tournaments for backing dogs in, with only 24% of them winning on average in the last seven editions.

Vienna has fared better in that regard, with an average of 32% underdog winners in its last 10 editions and 45% of its matches in those 10 years have featured at least one tie break.

Misolic should be keen to impress in Vienna

As far as Monday's schedule in Vienna is concerned, I like the idea of taking a chance on Filip Misolic at a tempting 3.55/2 to beat Francisco Cerundolo in the third match of the day on Centre Court.

Misolic's last appearance in a main draw was also at home in Kitzbuhel and he made full use of his wild card by making it all the way to the final at altitude on the clay.

He's not known for his ability on hard courts, but this match against Cerundolo will be a clay affair played on a hard court and you would think that Misolic would be by far the more motivated of the pair.

Cerundolo has little to play for this week and he's on a run of two wins in his last 11 matches, so at this late stage of the season I'm happy to back Misolic, who's shown already that he's the sort of player to be inspired by the home support.

Alcaraz no certainty to beat Draper

In Basel, the one bet I like there is to side with Jack Draper in some way against world number one Carlos Alcaraz.

Alcaraz is another one who could be forgiven for being a bit jaded at this stage of the year and he certainly looked it in Astana a few weeks ago when he was beaten in straight sets by David Goffin.

Alcaraz has won only five of his last 13 completed hard court matches in straight sets and he's played a tie break in eight of those 13 matches, so he's been doing things the hard way, and Draper looks a tough round one draw.

The young Brit still lacks the physicality to go more than a few rounds at this level, but he'll be up for this one, and his attacking style of play can rush a rusty Alcaraz, who's played only one match in the last month.

I wouldn't be shocked if Draper won this - much depends on the attitude of Alcaraz - but I like the 2.407/5 about there being over 2.5 sets in this match.

Draper has the level in reasonably pacy conditions to cause problems for the Spaniard, as he's shown in his last two matches against top-10 opposition, both of which he won (against Felix Auger-Aliassime and Stefanos Tsitsipas) and I expect this to be close.

So, two half point bets today, on Misolic to win and over 2.5 sets in Alcaraz/Draper.