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class="entry_header"> <h1 class="entry_header__title">Miami Masters Day Two Tips: Giron a false underdog for Garin clash</h1> <ul class="entry_header__meta"> <li><a href="https://betting.betfair.com/authors/dan-weston/">Dan Weston</a></li> <li><time datetime="2023-03-23">23 March 2023</time></li> <li>3:00 min read</li> </ul> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "NewsArticle", "headline": "Miami Masters Day Two Tips: Giron a false underdog for Garin clash", "name": "Miami Masters Day Two Tips: Giron a false underdog for Garin clash", "description": "The Miami Masters continues on Thursday, with 16 matches on the schedule as further first round action. Dan Weston returns with his thoughts...", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/tennis/events/miami-masters-day-two-tips-giron-a-false-underdog-for-garin-clash-230323-778.html", "mainEntityOfPage": "https://betting.betfair.com/tennis/events/miami-masters-day-two-tips-giron-a-false-underdog-for-garin-clash-230323-778.html", "datePublished": "2023-03-23T13:33:00+00:00", "dateModified": "2023-03-23T14:19:00+00:00", "articleBody": "The Miami Masters continues on Thursday, with 16 matches on the schedule as further first round action. Dan Weston returns with his thoughts... Wolf gives us a day one winner Sonego favourite to continue Thiem's misery Giron a false underdog against Garin Wolf roars but Murray and Isner exit We picked up a relatively stress-free winner in Florida last night with JJ Wolf easing past Alexander Bublik in straight sets, although there were some big names exiting already on the opening day, including Andy Murray and John Isner. The 32 seeded players with first-round byes are yet to start their tournaments, with the second round starting on Friday, so again we are faced with a schedule featuring generally quite low-profile players, and again, a number of clay-courters. Thiem's struggles could continue Arguably the clash of the round features Lorenzo Sonego versus wild-card Dominic Thiem, with the Austrian, Thiem, still ranked outside the top 100 as his comeback to tour continues to underwhelm. Previously a staple of the top five, Thiem's numbers in 2023 are seriously poor (just over 92% combined service/return points won), and this inspires little confidence in him turning this run around any time soon. The market agrees, making Sonego the [1.75] favourite to progress, and this line is difficult to dispute, even considering the uninspiring record of the Italian on hard court in recent times. Garin overvalued after Indian Wells run Moving on, I don't think Denis Kudla should be underdog against the serve-oriented Chris Eubanks, in their all-American clash. Kudla is currently trading at [2.24], and while his season hasn't been impressive so far, neither has Eubanks, and it feels like Eubanks will need to serve pretty well if he is to inflict a knockout blow on his countryman. I'm also surprised that Marcos Giron is a slight [2.18] underdog against the clay-courter, Christian Garin. I can't help thinking the markets have overvalued Garin after reaching round four at Indian Wells and beating Casper Ruud in the process, but the ultra-slow conditions in California would really have suited the Chilean. Giron has lost to pretty solid opposition this season - Norrie, Medvedev, Fritz, Tiafoe - and his 2023 numbers across surfaces are marginally better than Garin's. Particularly on serve, that's also the case on hard court and I think Giron has been priced up as a false underdog here - I'd have the prices the other way around. Back Marcos Giron @ 2.18 Gasquet should have too much for O'Connell Finally, Richard Gasquet hasn't won consecutive matches for several months, since his shock triumph at ATP Auckland, but should have a little too much for the lucky loser, Christian O'Connell. 2023 data suggests that the veteran Frenchman has the edge, with better return numbers by a reasonable margin, and while Gasquet's level is pretty variable these days, I'd expect him to take the win here - he looks a very justified favourite at the current [1.84].", "image":[ "https://betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Marcos Giron Halle 2022.728x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Marcos Giron Halle 2022.547x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Marcos Giron Halle 2022.410x410.jpg" ], "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Betting.Betfair", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/assets/img/betfairlogoblack.ea48b4e0.png" }, "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/" }, "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Dan Weston", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/authors/dan_weston" } } </script> </header> <div class="two_column_layout"> <main class="entry_main"> <div class="entry_img"> <img src="//betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Marcos Giron Halle 2022.728x410.jpg" srcset="//betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Marcos Giron Halle 2022.450x253.jpg 450w, //betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Marcos Giron Halle 2022.600x338.jpg 600w, //betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Marcos Giron Halle 2022.728x410.jpg 728w" alt="American Tennis Player Marcos Giron"> <figcaption class="entry_img__caption">Marcos Giron looks some value today...</figcaption> </div> <div class="entry_actions"> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBGC01B10G30A&prod=90&rfr=977218">Join</a> </div> <div> <a class="button btn--market" data-market_full="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/atp-miami-2023/giron-v-garin-betting-32206056" href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/atp-miami-2023/giron-v-garin-betting-32206056">View market</a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--twitter"> <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet/?text=Miami%20Masters%20Day%20Two%20Tips%3A%20Giron%20a%20false%20underdog%20for%20Garin%20clash&url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fmiami-masters-day-two-tips-giron-a-false-underdog-for-garin-clash-230323-778.html" target="_blank" title="Twitter"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--twitter">Twitter</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--facebook"> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fmiami-masters-day-two-tips-giron-a-false-underdog-for-garin-clash-230323-778.html" target="_blank" title="Facebook"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--facebook">Facebook</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--reddit"> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/submit/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fmiami-masters-day-two-tips-giron-a-false-underdog-for-garin-clash-230323-778.html" target="_blank" title="Reddit"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--reddit">Reddit</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--whatsapp"> <a href="https://api.whatsapp.com/send?text=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fmiami-masters-day-two-tips-giron-a-false-underdog-for-garin-clash-230323-778.html" target="_blank" title="WhatsApp"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--whatsapp">WhatsApp</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--telegram"> <a href="https://t.me/share/url?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fmiami-masters-day-two-tips-giron-a-false-underdog-for-garin-clash-230323-778.html&text=Miami%20Masters%20Day%20Two%20Tips%3A%20Giron%20a%20false%20underdog%20for%20Garin%20clash" target="_blank" title="Telegram"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--telegram">Telegram</span></a> </div> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="#betslip">View the Betslip</a> </div> </div> <div class="entry_body has-odds"> <div class="entry_body__intro"><p>The Miami Masters continues on Thursday, with 16 matches on the schedule as further first round action. Dan Weston returns with his thoughts...</p></div> <div class="entry_body__content"> <div class="editor"> <ul> <li> <h3><strong>Wolf gives us a day one winner</strong></h3> </li> <li> <h3><strong>Sonego favourite to continue Thiem's misery</strong></h3> </li> <li> <h3><strong>Giron a false underdog against Garin</strong></h3> </li> <hr><h2>Wolf roars but Murray and Isner exit</h2><p></p><p>We picked up a relatively stress-free winner in Florida last night with <strong>JJ Wolf</strong> easing past Alexander Bublik in straight sets, although there were some big names exiting already on the opening day, including Andy Murray and John Isner.</p><p>The 32 seeded players with first-round byes are yet to start their tournaments, with the second round starting on Friday, so again we are faced with a schedule featuring generally quite low-profile players, and again, a number of clay-courters.</p><h2>Thiem's struggles could continue</h2><p></p><p>Arguably the clash of the round features <strong>Lorenzo Sonego</strong> versus wild-card <strong>Dominic Thiem</strong>, with the Austrian, Thiem, still ranked outside the top 100 as his comeback to tour continues to underwhelm.</p><p>Previously a staple of the top five, Thiem's numbers in 2023 are <strong>seriously poor</strong> (just over 92% combined service/return points won), and this inspires little confidence in him turning this run around any time soon.</p><p>The market agrees, making Sonego the <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/atp-miami-2023/sonego-v-thiem-betting-32202796"><b class="inline_odds" title="8/11"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.75</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">8/11</span></b></a> favourite to progress, and this line is difficult to dispute, even considering the <strong>uninspiring record</strong> of the Italian on hard court in recent times.</p><h2>Garin overvalued after Indian Wells run</h2><p></p><p>Moving on, I don't think Denis Kudla should be underdog against the serve-oriented Chris Eubanks, in their all-American clash. Kudla is currently trading at <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/atp-miami-2023/eubanks-v-kudla-betting-32206051"><b class="inline_odds" title="5/4"><span class="inline_odds__main">2.24</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">5/4</span></b></a>, and while his season hasn't been impressive so far, neither has Eubanks, and it feels like Eubanks will need to serve pretty well if he is to inflict a <strong>knockout blow</strong> on his countryman.</p><p>I'm also surprised that Marcos Giron is a slight <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/atp-miami-2023/giron-v-garin-betting-32206056"><b class="inline_odds" title="6/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">2.18</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">6/5</span></b></a> underdog against the clay-courter, Christian Garin. I can't help thinking the <strong>markets have overvalued</strong> Garin after reaching round four at Indian Wells and beating Casper Ruud in the process, but the ultra-slow conditions in California would really have suited the Chilean.</p><blockquote>Giron has lost to pretty solid opposition this season - Norrie, Medvedev, Fritz, Tiafoe - and his 2023 numbers across surfaces are marginally better than Garin's.</blockquote><p>Particularly on serve, that's also the case on hard court and I think Giron has been priced up as a <strong>false underdog</strong> here - I'd have the prices the other way around.</p><div class="bet_promo_banner"> <p>Back Marcos Giron @</p> <a target="_blank" href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/atp-miami-2023/giron-v-garin-betting-32206056" class="bet_promo_banner__link" rel="noopener">2.18</a></div><h2>Gasquet should have too much for O'Connell</h2><p></p><p>Finally, Richard Gasquet hasn't won consecutive matches for several months, since his <strong>shock triumph</strong> at ATP Auckland, but should have a little too much for the lucky loser, Christian O'Connell.</p><p>2023 data suggests that the veteran Frenchman has the edge, with <strong>better return numbers</strong> by a reasonable margin, and while Gasquet's level is pretty variable these days, I'd expect him to take the win here - he looks a very justified favourite at the current <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/atp-miami-2023/gasquet-v-o-connell-betting-32206066"><b class="inline_odds" title="5/6"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.84</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">5/6</span></b></a>.</p></ul> </div> </div> <div class="recommended_bets betslip_goto auto_banners" data-banner_cta="Join"> <h3>Recommended bets</h3> <div class="editor editor--reversed"> <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/atp-miami-2023/giron-v-garin-betting-32206056">Back Marcos Giron at <b class="inline_odds" title="6/5"><span 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