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class="entry_header"> <h1 class="entry_header__title">Madrid Masters Day 7 Tips: Rublev to repeat Monte-Carlo win over Khachanov</h1> <ul class="entry_header__meta"> <li><a href="https://betting.betfair.com/authors/dan-weston/">Dan Weston</a></li> <li><time datetime="2023-05-02">02 May 2023</time></li> <li>3:00 min read</li> </ul> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "NewsArticle", "headline": "Madrid Masters Day 7 Tips: Rublev to repeat Monte-Carlo win over Khachanov", "name": "Madrid Masters Day 7 Tips: Rublev to repeat Monte-Carlo win over Khachanov", "description": "Fourth round action is the focus of the Madrid Masters on Tuesday, with all eight matches in the round on the schedule. Dan Weston returns to give his though...", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/tennis/events/madrid-masters-day-7-tips-rublev-to-repeat-monte-carlo-win-over-khachanov-010523-778.html", "mainEntityOfPage": "https://betting.betfair.com/tennis/events/madrid-masters-day-7-tips-rublev-to-repeat-monte-carlo-win-over-khachanov-010523-778.html", "datePublished": "2023-05-02T09:15:00+01:00", "dateModified": "2023-05-02T09:15:00+01:00", "articleBody": "Fourth round action is the focus of the Madrid Masters on Tuesday, with all eight matches in the round on the schedule. Dan Weston returns to give his thoughts on the day ahead... Struff wins as Norrie exits Outright leaders all heavy favourites to win on Tuesday Rublev facing Khachanov rematch Struff picks up useful underdog winner for us We picked up another underdog winner on Monday with Jan-Lennard Struff getting the better of Dusan Lajovic in three sets, on a day where nobody really had it easy - six of the eight third round clashes went the distance, including Zhizhen Zhang shocking Cameron Norrie in a final set tiebreak. The outright market is yet to fully form after Monday's matches, but Carlos Alcaraz [1.81] is still the tournament favourite, with Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas, both around [7.0], are vying for second favourite status. Everyone else remaining in the tournament are well into double digits, or even bigger. Zheng facing quick turnaround for Fritz clash Action gets under way at 10am UK time again on Tuesday, which is a pretty quick turnaround for the likes of Zheng who has only just got the job done at 22:30, and is scheduled to face Taylor Fritz at 14:30 on Tuesday. I'd be pretty shocked if Fritz didn't end Zheng's journey tomorrow afternoon. Alcaraz to give Zverev a true test of where his game is at The three market favourites - Alcaraz, Medvedev and Tsitsipas - are all priced around the [1.2] mark to progress on Tuesday, with Alcaraz facing Alexander Zverev, Medvedev up against qualifier Aslan Karatsev and Tsitsipas clashing with Bernabe Zapata Miralles. Despite Zverev winning easily on Sunday against qualifier Hugo Grenier, Alcaraz is a gigantic step up and we have to go back to the meeting between the two players at the French Open last year (before Zverev's long-term injury absence) for Zverev's last win against a top 10 player on the main tour. Rublev solid favourite over Khachanov Moving on, a few weeks ago we picked up a winner in Monte Carlo with Andrey Rublev defeating Karen Khachanov, and the market has Rublev at a shorter price for their re-match on Tuesday. The [1.54] price on Rublev looks fair enough, especially with Khachanov dropping sets as a strong market favourite in both his matches here so far. Rublev's clay data is far better than Khachanov's over the last year, and all-surface data in 2023 is also, so the market prices look reasonable. I'm happy to keep Rublev onside for this clash. Finally, I also think Jaume Munar should have too much for Daniel Altmaier, while Jan-Lennard Struff can continue his strong run here, given that he should also have enough to deal with the thereat of Pedro Cachin - he has better clay data than the low-ranked Argentinian this year.", "image":[ "https://betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Andrey Rublev Monte Carlo 2023.728x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Andrey Rublev Monte Carlo 2023.547x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Andrey Rublev Monte Carlo 2023.410x410.jpg" ], "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Betting.Betfair", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/assets/img/betfairlogoblack.ea48b4e0.png" }, "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/" }, "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Dan Weston", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/authors/dan_weston" } } </script> </header> <div class="two_column_layout"> <main class="entry_main"> <div class="entry_img"> <img src="//betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Andrey Rublev Monte Carlo 2023.728x410.jpg" srcset="//betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Andrey Rublev Monte Carlo 2023.450x253.jpg 450w, //betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Andrey Rublev Monte Carlo 2023.600x338.jpg 600w, //betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Andrey Rublev Monte Carlo 2023.728x410.jpg 728w" alt="Tennis Player Andrey Rublev"> <figcaption class="entry_img__caption">Andrey Rublev is favourite over Karen Khachanov...</figcaption> </div> <div class="entry_actions"> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBGC01B10G30A&prod=90&rfr=977218">Join</a> </div> <div> <a class="button btn--market" data-market_full="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/tennis/market/1.213626115" href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/tennis/market/1.213626115">View market</a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--twitter"> <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet/?text=Madrid%20Masters%20Day%207%20Tips%3A%20Rublev%20to%20repeat%20Monte-Carlo%20win%20over%20Khachanov&url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fmadrid-masters-day-7-tips-rublev-to-repeat-monte-carlo-win-over-khachanov-010523-778.html" target="_blank" title="Twitter"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--twitter">Twitter</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--facebook"> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fmadrid-masters-day-7-tips-rublev-to-repeat-monte-carlo-win-over-khachanov-010523-778.html" target="_blank" title="Facebook"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--facebook">Facebook</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--reddit"> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/submit/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fmadrid-masters-day-7-tips-rublev-to-repeat-monte-carlo-win-over-khachanov-010523-778.html" target="_blank" title="Reddit"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--reddit">Reddit</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--whatsapp"> <a href="https://api.whatsapp.com/send?text=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fmadrid-masters-day-7-tips-rublev-to-repeat-monte-carlo-win-over-khachanov-010523-778.html" target="_blank" title="WhatsApp"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--whatsapp">WhatsApp</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--telegram"> <a href="https://t.me/share/url?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fmadrid-masters-day-7-tips-rublev-to-repeat-monte-carlo-win-over-khachanov-010523-778.html&text=Madrid%20Masters%20Day%207%20Tips%3A%20Rublev%20to%20repeat%20Monte-Carlo%20win%20over%20Khachanov" target="_blank" title="Telegram"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--telegram">Telegram</span></a> </div> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="#betslip">View the Betslip</a> </div> </div> <div class="entry_body has-odds"> <div class="entry_body__intro"><p>Fourth round action is the focus of the Madrid Masters on Tuesday, with all eight matches in the round on the schedule. Dan Weston returns to give his thoughts on the day ahead...</p></div> <div class="entry_body__content"> <div class="editor"> <ul> <li> <h3>Struff wins as Norrie exits</h3> </li> <li> <h3>Outright leaders all heavy favourites to win on Tuesday</h3> </li> <li> <h3>Rublev facing Khachanov rematch</h3> </li> <hr><h2>Struff picks up useful underdog winner for us</h2><p></p><p>We picked up another <strong>underdog winner</strong> <a href="https://betting.betfair.com/tennis/events/madrid-masters-day-6-tips-struff-can-get-past-in-form-lajovic-010523-778.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">on Monday</a> with <strong>Jan-Lennard Struff</strong> getting the better of Dusan Lajovic in three sets, on a day where nobody really had it easy - six of the eight third round clashes went the distance, including Zhizhen Zhang shocking Cameron Norrie in a final set tiebreak.</p><p>The <strong>outright market</strong> is yet to fully form after Monday's matches, but <strong>Carlos Alcaraz</strong> <b class="inline_odds" title="4/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.81</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4/5</span></b> is still the <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/tennis/market/1.213332402">tournament favourite</a>, with <strong>Daniil Medvedev</strong> and <strong>Stefanos Tsitsipas</strong>, both around <b class="inline_odds" title="6/1"><span class="inline_odds__main">7.0</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">6/1</span></b>, are vying for second favourite status. Everyone else remaining in the tournament are well into double digits, or even bigger.</p><h2>Zheng facing quick turnaround for Fritz clash</h2><p></p><p>Action gets under way at 10am UK time again on Tuesday, which is a <strong>pretty quick turnaround</strong> for the likes of Zheng who has only just got the job done at 22:30, and is scheduled to face <strong>Taylor Fritz</strong> at 14:30 on Tuesday. I'd be pretty shocked if Fritz didn't end Zheng's journey tomorrow afternoon.</p><h2>Alcaraz to give Zverev a true test of where his game is at</h2><p></p><p>The three market favourites - <strong>Alcaraz, Medvedev and Tsitsipas</strong> - are all priced around the <b class="inline_odds" title="1/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.2</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">1/5</span></b> mark to progress on Tuesday, with Alcaraz facing <strong>Alexander Zverev</strong>, Medvedev up against qualifier <strong>Aslan Karatsev</strong> and Tsitsipas clashing with <strong>Bernabe Zapata Miralles. </strong></p><p>Despite Zverev winning easily on Sunday against qualifier Hugo Grenier, Alcaraz is a <strong>gigantic step up</strong> and we have to go back to the meeting between the two players at the French Open last year (before Zverev's long-term injury absence) for Zverev's last win against a top 10 player on the main tour.</p><h2>Rublev solid favourite over Khachanov</h2><p></p><p>Moving on, a few weeks ago we picked up a winner in Monte Carlo with <strong>Andrey Rublev</strong> defeating <strong>Karen Khachanov</strong>, and the market has Rublev at a shorter price for their re-match on Tuesday. The <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/atp-madrid-2023/khachanov-v-rublev-betting-32314115"><b class="inline_odds" title="8/15"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.54</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">8/15</span></b></a> price on Rublev looks fair enough, especially with Khachanov dropping sets as a strong market favourite in both his matches here so far.</p><p>Rublev's clay data is far better than Khachanov's over the last year, and all-surface data in 2023 is also, so the market prices look reasonable. I'm happy to keep Rublev onside for this clash.</p><p>Finally, I also think <strong>Jaume Munar</strong> should have too much for <strong>Daniel Altmaier</strong>, while <strong>Jan-Lennard Struff</strong> can continue his strong run here, given that he should also have enough to deal with the thereat of <strong>Pedro Cachin </strong>- he has better clay data than the low-ranked Argentinian this year.</p></ul> </div> </div> <section class="betting_copy"> <div class="editor"> <h2 class="promo-name bf-sportsbook" data-qa="promo-name">New customers can get £20 in free bets!</h2> <p>New customers can earn £20 in free bets when they place a £5 bet on the Sportsbook after signing up. <a href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBHC01B5G20">T&Cs apply.</a></p> <section class="promo__desc"> <div class="description "> <section class="promo__desc"> <div class="description"></div> </section> </div> </section> </div> </section> <div id="betslip" class="entry_body__extras"> <script 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