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class="entry_header"> <h1 class="entry_header__title">Indian Wells Masters Day 9 Tips: Alcaraz and Sinner deserved favourites</h1> <ul class="entry_header__meta"> <li><a href="https://betting.betfair.com/authors/dan-weston/">Dan Weston</a></li> <li><time datetime="2023-03-16">16 March 2023</time></li> <li>3:00 min read</li> </ul> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "NewsArticle", "headline": "Indian Wells Masters Day 9 Tips: Alcaraz and Sinner deserved favourites", "name": "Indian Wells Masters Day 9 Tips: Alcaraz and Sinner deserved favourites", "description": "There's more quarter-final action at the Indian Wells Masters tonight with the remaining two ATP matches in the round on the schedule. Dan Weston returns wit...", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/tennis/events/indian-wells-masters-day-9-tips-alcaraz-and-sinner-deserved-favourites-160323-778.html", "mainEntityOfPage": "https://betting.betfair.com/tennis/events/indian-wells-masters-day-9-tips-alcaraz-and-sinner-deserved-favourites-160323-778.html", "datePublished": "2023-03-16T07:19:00+00:00", "dateModified": "2023-03-16T08:01:00+00:00", "articleBody": "There's more quarter-final action at the Indian Wells Masters tonight with the remaining two ATP matches in the round on the schedule. Dan Weston returns with his preview... Key point performances sees Medvedev progress Sinner marginal favourite over Fritz Alcaraz should see of threat of Auger-Aliassime Outcome could have been very different for Medvedev In the first two matches of the round, Frances Tiafoe and Daniil Medvedev progressed to the semi-finals, although in Medvedev's case, he was arguably fortunate to prevail in straight sets. The pre-tournament favourite faced break points in four consecutive service games in set two, including holding from *3-4 0-40, and his victory was earned by better performance on key points than opponent Alejandro Davidovich Fokina. This win makes Medvedev the outright favourite at [2.2] on the Exchange, but Carlos Alcaraz [3.1] is likely to go shorter than Medvedev if he wins tonight against Felix Auger-Aliassime. That's the later of the two quarter-finals, which start later tonight - the first is at 2200 UK time. Sinner with edge over Fritz That first quarter-final looks competitive, between Taylor Fritz and Jannik Sinner, and it's Sinner who is the slight [1.83] favourite to make the semi-finals. Fritz has now crept up to a career-best number five in the world and beat Sinner as an underdog at this venue in late 2021 when the tournament took place later on in the season. Fritz is 12-2 since his shock loss to Alexei Popyrin at the Australian Open in January, albeit as a solid or overwhelming favourite in all 14 matches. Sinner has also been in strong form post-Australian Open, with consecutive finals indoors (one title) in Europe in February, and is yet to drop a set in this event so far, so there should be a high-quality match in prospect. Sinner's better return data gives him the edge, numbers-wise, so it's pretty difficult to dispute the Italian's status as favourite here. Alcaraz strong favourite to get past Auger-Aliassime Following this, Alcaraz is a strong [1.33] favourite to see off the threat of Felix Auger-Aliassime. Interestingly, Alcaraz has lost all three career meetings, including two when he was ranked number one in the world, although both of those were on indoor hard courts - likely much quicker than the slow outdoor conditions here in California. Alcaraz hasn't dropped a set to get to this stage, while Auger-Aliassime edged a nail-biting final set tiebreak against Tommy Paul in the previous round. That match lasted almost three hours, so it will be fascinating to see how the Canadian can back up such an epic against the world number two. As I've said throughout the week, the slow conditions should be just to Alcaraz's liking, and he's running at 119% combined service/return points won in his three matches here so far this year, without having his serve broken. Given this, and the clear discrepancy in data between the duo over the last year or so, and again, it's tough to make a case for the market having made a huge mistake with their pricing here. ", "image":[ "https://betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Indian Wells court general view.728x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Indian Wells court general view.547x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Indian Wells court general view.410x410.jpg" ], "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Betting.Betfair", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/assets/img/betfairlogoblack.ea48b4e0.png" }, "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/" }, "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Dan Weston", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/authors/dan_weston" } } </script> </header> <div class="two_column_layout"> <main class="entry_main"> <div class="entry_img"> <img src="//betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Indian Wells court general view.728x410.jpg" srcset="//betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Indian Wells court general view.450x253.jpg 450w, //betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Indian Wells court general view.600x338.jpg 600w, //betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Indian Wells court general view.728x410.jpg 728w" alt="Indian Wells Tennis Stadium"> <figcaption class="entry_img__caption">The quarter-final stage concludes tonight at Indian Wells</figcaption> </div> <div class="entry_actions"> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBGC01B10G30A&prod=90&rfr=977218">Join</a> </div> <div> <a class="button btn--market" data-market_full="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/atp-indian-wells-2023/fritz-v-sinner-betting-32187566" href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/atp-indian-wells-2023/fritz-v-sinner-betting-32187566">View market</a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--twitter"> <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet/?text=Indian%20Wells%20Masters%20Day%209%20Tips%3A%20Alcaraz%20and%20Sinner%20deserved%20favourites&url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Findian-wells-masters-day-9-tips-alcaraz-and-sinner-deserved-favourites-160323-778.html" target="_blank" title="Twitter"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--twitter">Twitter</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--facebook"> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Findian-wells-masters-day-9-tips-alcaraz-and-sinner-deserved-favourites-160323-778.html" target="_blank" title="Facebook"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--facebook">Facebook</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--reddit"> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/submit/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Findian-wells-masters-day-9-tips-alcaraz-and-sinner-deserved-favourites-160323-778.html" target="_blank" title="Reddit"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--reddit">Reddit</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--whatsapp"> <a href="https://api.whatsapp.com/send?text=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Findian-wells-masters-day-9-tips-alcaraz-and-sinner-deserved-favourites-160323-778.html" target="_blank" title="WhatsApp"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--whatsapp">WhatsApp</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--telegram"> <a href="https://t.me/share/url?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Findian-wells-masters-day-9-tips-alcaraz-and-sinner-deserved-favourites-160323-778.html&text=Indian%20Wells%20Masters%20Day%209%20Tips%3A%20Alcaraz%20and%20Sinner%20deserved%20favourites" target="_blank" title="Telegram"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--telegram">Telegram</span></a> </div> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="#betslip">View the Betslip</a> </div> </div> <div class="entry_body has-odds"> <div class="entry_body__intro"><p>There's more quarter-final action at the Indian Wells Masters tonight with the remaining two ATP matches in the round on the schedule. Dan Weston returns with his preview...</p></div> <div class="entry_body__content"> <div class="editor"> <ul> <li> <h3><strong>Key point performances sees Medvedev progress</strong></h3> </li> <li> <h3><strong>Sinner marginal favourite over Fritz</strong></h3> </li> <li> <h3><strong>Alcaraz should see of threat of Auger-Aliassime</strong></h3> </li> <hr><h2>Outcome could have been very different for Medvedev</h2><p></p><p>In the first two matches of the round, Frances Tiafoe and Daniil Medvedev progressed to the semi-finals, although in Medvedev's case, he was arguably <strong>fortunate to prevail</strong> in straight sets.</p><p>The pre-tournament favourite faced break points in four consecutive service games in set two, including holding from *3-4 0-40, and his victory was earned by better performance on key points than opponent Alejandro Davidovich Fokina.</p><p>This win makes Medvedev the outright favourite at <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/tennis/market/1.211013145"><b class="inline_odds" title="6/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">2.2</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">6/5</span></b></a> on the Exchange, but <strong>Carlos Alcaraz</strong> <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/tennis/market/1.211013145"><b class="inline_odds" title="85/40"><span class="inline_odds__main">3.1</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">85/40</span></b></a> is <strong>likely to go shorter</strong> than Medvedev if he wins tonight against Felix Auger-Aliassime. That's the later of the two quarter-finals, which start later tonight - the first is at 2200 UK time.</p><h2>Sinner with edge over Fritz</h2><p></p><p>That first quarter-final looks competitive, between<strong> Taylor Fritz</strong> and <strong>Jannik Sinner</strong>, and it's Sinner who is the slight <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/atp-indian-wells-2023/fritz-v-sinner-betting-32187566"><b class="inline_odds" title="4/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.83</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">4/5</span></b></a> favourite to make the semi-finals. Fritz has now crept up to a <strong>career-best</strong> number five in the world and beat Sinner as an underdog at this venue in late 2021 when the tournament took place later on in the season.</p><blockquote>Fritz is 12-2 since his shock loss to Alexei Popyrin at the Australian Open in January, albeit as a solid or overwhelming favourite in all 14 matches.</blockquote><p>Sinner has also been in strong form post-Australian Open, with consecutive finals indoors (one title) in Europe in February, and is yet to drop a set in this event so far, so there should be a <strong>high-quality match in prospect</strong>. Sinner's better return data gives him the edge, numbers-wise, so it's pretty difficult to dispute the Italian's status as favourite here.</p><h2>Alcaraz strong favourite to get past Auger-Aliassime</h2><p></p><p>Following this, <strong>Alcaraz is a strong <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/atp-indian-wells-2023/carlos-alcaraz-v-f-auger-aliassime-betting-32188000"><b class="inline_odds" title="1/3"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.33</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">1/3</span></b></a> favourite</strong> to see off the threat of Felix Auger-Aliassime. Interestingly, Alcaraz has lost all three career meetings, including two when he was ranked number one in the world, although both of those were on indoor hard courts - likely much quicker than the <strong>slow outdoor conditions</strong> here in California.</p><p>Alcaraz <strong>hasn't dropped a set</strong> to get to this stage, while Auger-Aliassime edged a nail-biting final set tiebreak against Tommy Paul in the previous round. That match lasted almost three hours, so it will be fascinating to see how the Canadian can back up such an epic against the world number two.</p><p>As I've said throughout the week, the slow conditions should be just to Alcaraz's liking, and he's running at 119% combined service/return points won in his three matches here so far this year, without having his serve broken.</p><p>Given this, and the <strong>clear discrepancy in data</strong> between the duo over the last year or so, and again, it's tough to make a case for the market having made a huge mistake with their pricing here.</p><p></p></ul> </div> </div> <section class="betting_copy"> <div class="editor"> <h2 class="promo-name bf-sportsbook" data-qa="promo-name">New customers can get £20 in free bets!</h2> <p>New customers can earn £20 in free bets when they place a £5 bet on the Sportsbook after signing up. <a href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBHC01B5G20">T&Cs apply.</a></p> <section 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Horse Racing Tips and Predictions
Saturday Racing Tips: Tony Calvin backs 33/1 Sandown bet to shock doubters
Football Betting Tips
Crystal Palace v Liverpool: Tuck in to 9/4 & 4/1 lunchtime specials at Selhurst Park
Horse Racing Tips and Predictions
Paul Nicholls: Iceo has nice chance in Betfair Henry VIII Chase among my 12 Saturday runners
Horse Racing Tips and Predictions
Kevin Blake's Big Races Verdicts: Goshen and Edwardstone can challenge in Betfair Grade 1s at Sandown
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West Indies v England Third ODI Tips: Chase looks good at 14/1
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