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class="entry_header"> <h1 class="entry_header__title">ATP Cincinnati Day 4 Tips: Back Medvedev to extend winning record over Zverev</h1> <ul class="entry_header__meta"> <li><a href="https://betting.betfair.com/authors/dan-weston/">Dan Weston</a></li> <li><time datetime="2023-08-17">17 August 2023</time></li> <li>3:00 min read</li> </ul> <script type="application/ld+json"> { "@context": "http://schema.org", "@type": "NewsArticle", "headline": "ATP Cincinnati Day 4 Tips: Back Medvedev to extend winning record over Zverev", "name": "ATP Cincinnati Day 4 Tips: Back Medvedev to extend winning record over Zverev", "description": "The Cincinnati Masters is at the last 16 stage and there are superb-looking matches on Thursday says Dan Weston who recommends his best bet...", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/tennis/events/atp-cincinnati-day-4-tips-back-medvedev-to-extend-winning-record-over-zverev-170823-778.html", "mainEntityOfPage": "https://betting.betfair.com/tennis/events/atp-cincinnati-day-4-tips-back-medvedev-to-extend-winning-record-over-zverev-170823-778.html", "datePublished": "2023-08-17T13:50:00+01:00", "dateModified": "2023-08-17T14:23:00+01:00", "articleBody": "The Cincinnati Masters is at the last 16 stage and there are superb-looking matches on Thursday says Dan Weston who recommends his best bet... Alcaraz and Djokovic co-favourites for the title Djokovic going for 20th win over Monfils Medvedev should have too much for Zverev Shock results again on Wednesday night Novak Djokovic and Daniil Medvedev were the headline winners on Wednesday in Cincinnati, easing through to join pre-tournament favourite Carlos Alcaraz in the last 16, which takes place today from 16:00 UK time. However, not joining the trio who lead the outright market is Jannik Sinner - ousted by Dusan Lajovic - plus Casper Ruud (three-set loss to Max Purcell) and Holger Rune, who retired a set and break down to Mackenzie McDonald. That's far from ideal preparation for the US Open for the latter two top 10 players. You can forgive Sinner following his title in Toronto last week. Market wary of repeat loss for Alcaraz v Paul The tournament winner market cannot split Alcaraz and Djokovic (both at [3.15] for the title at the time of writing), while Daniil Medvedev [5.7] is a clear third favourite with all other contenders in double-digit pricing or greater. Based on current market pricing, we are looking at around a 75-80% implied odds chance that the title winner will come from the three market leaders. To continue his tournament, Alcaraz must defeat Tommy Paul, which he failed to do last week at the Rogers Cup. The world number one lost 3-6 6-4 3-6 to the American, and his price has risen from [1.20] last week to a current [1.31] this week, as the market reacts to that defeat in Canada. Djokovic and Medvedev with continued success over opponents Novak Djokovic is heavy favourite to end Gael Monfils' journey this week and history suggesting that the Serbian will do so, having defeated the veteran Frenchman 19 times out of 19 when they've played each other in their professional careers. Under a little more pressure in terms of market expectation is Daniil Medvedev, who is [1.54] to progress at the expense of Alexander Zverev. The duo have met 16 times already with Medvedev 10-6 up and having won nine of the 10 clashes since the start of 2020, so Zverev will be needing to overturn history himself if he is to pick up an underdog win. Hard court data suggests that this match is Medvedev's to lose and in my view there are worse spots to back a pre-match favourite than Medvedev here. Back Medvedev @ [1.54] Bet now Tsitsipas facing another high-variance match-up It will be fascinating also to see how Stefanos Tsitsipas [1.55] deals with the threat posed by Hubert Hurkacz. The Greek has won six of the eight times they've met on the main tour but Hurkacz hasn't made life easy, with six of their last seven decided in the final set and the other by a tiebreak. So, after Tsitsipas needed to ride the variance train yesterday with two tiebreaks against Ben Shelton, he could well be required to do so again here against another competent server. Hurkacz poses more threat on return than Shelton. In other matches, I would be surprised if Mackenzie Mcdonald was unable to see off Adrian Mannarino, but the market line looks fairly reasonable. I also like the chances of Stan Wawrinka keeping his run here going with a win over Max Purcell, who has done well to get to this stage having gone through qualifiers. Both McDonald and Wawrinka are priced around the [1.60] mark to win.", "image":[ "https://betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Daniil Medvedev Indian Wells.728x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Daniil Medvedev Indian Wells.547x410.jpg", "https://betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Daniil Medvedev Indian Wells.410x410.jpg" ], "publisher": { "@type": "Organization", "name": "Betting.Betfair", "logo": { "@type": "ImageObject", "url": "https://betting.cdnppb.net/assets/img/betfairlogoblack.ea48b4e0.png" }, "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/" }, "author": { "@type": "Person", "name": "Dan Weston", "url": "https://betting.betfair.com/authors/dan_weston" } } </script> </header> <div class="two_column_layout"> <main class="entry_main"> <div class="entry_img"> <img src="//betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Daniil Medvedev Indian Wells.728x410.jpg" srcset="//betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Daniil Medvedev Indian Wells.450x253.jpg 450w, //betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Daniil Medvedev Indian Wells.600x338.jpg 600w, //betting.cdnppb.net/tennis/Daniil Medvedev Indian Wells.728x410.jpg 728w" alt="Tennis Player Daniil Medvedev"> <figcaption class="entry_img__caption">Daniil Medvedev has dominated Alexander Zverev in recent years</figcaption> </div> <div class="entry_actions"> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBGC01B10G30A&prod=90&rfr=977218">Join</a> </div> <div> <a class="button btn--market" data-market_full="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/atp-cincinnati-2023/a-zverev-v-medvedev-betting-32563107" href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/atp-cincinnati-2023/a-zverev-v-medvedev-betting-32563107">View market</a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--twitter"> <a href="https://twitter.com/intent/tweet/?text=ATP%20Cincinnati%20Day%204%20Tips%3A%20Back%20Medvedev%20to%20extend%20winning%20record%20over%20Zverev&url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fatp-cincinnati-day-4-tips-back-medvedev-to-extend-winning-record-over-zverev-170823-778.html" target="_blank" title="Twitter"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--twitter">Twitter</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--facebook"> <a href="https://www.facebook.com/sharer/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fatp-cincinnati-day-4-tips-back-medvedev-to-extend-winning-record-over-zverev-170823-778.html" target="_blank" title="Facebook"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--facebook">Facebook</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--reddit"> <a href="https://www.reddit.com/submit/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fatp-cincinnati-day-4-tips-back-medvedev-to-extend-winning-record-over-zverev-170823-778.html" target="_blank" title="Reddit"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--reddit">Reddit</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--whatsapp"> <a href="https://api.whatsapp.com/send?text=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fatp-cincinnati-day-4-tips-back-medvedev-to-extend-winning-record-over-zverev-170823-778.html" target="_blank" title="WhatsApp"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--whatsapp">WhatsApp</span></a> </div> <div class="entry_actions__social entry_actions__social--telegram"> <a href="https://t.me/share/url?url=https%3A%2F%2Fbetting.betfair.com%2Ftennis%2Fevents%2Fatp-cincinnati-day-4-tips-back-medvedev-to-extend-winning-record-over-zverev-170823-778.html&text=ATP%20Cincinnati%20Day%204%20Tips%3A%20Back%20Medvedev%20to%20extend%20winning%20record%20over%20Zverev" target="_blank" title="Telegram"><span class="sprite_icon sprite_icon--telegram">Telegram</span></a> </div> <div> <a class="button button--dark" href="#betslip">View the Betslip</a> </div> </div> <div class="entry_body has-odds"> <div class="entry_body__intro"><p>The Cincinnati Masters is at the last 16 stage and there are superb-looking matches on Thursday says Dan Weston who recommends his best bet...</p></div> <div class="entry_body__content"> <div class="editor"> <ul> <li> <h3><strong>Alcaraz and Djokovic co-favourites for the title</strong></h3> </li> <li> <h3><strong>Djokovic going for 20th win over Monfils</strong></h3> </li> <li> <h3><strong>Medvedev should have too much for Zverev</strong></h3> </li> <hr><h2>Shock results again on Wednesday night</h2><p><strong></strong></p><p><strong>Novak Djokovic</strong> and <strong>Daniil Medvedev</strong> were the headline winners on Wednesday in Cincinnati, easing through to join pre-tournament favourite Carlos Alcaraz in the last 16, which takes place today from 16:00 UK time.</p><p>However, not joining the trio who lead the <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/tennis/market/1.217017485">outright market</a> is Jannik Sinner - ousted by Dusan Lajovic - plus Casper Ruud (three-set loss to Max Purcell) and Holger Rune, who retired a set and break down to Mackenzie McDonald.</p><p>That's far from ideal preparation for the US Open for the latter two top 10 players. You can forgive Sinner following his title in Toronto last week.</p><h2>Market wary of repeat loss for Alcaraz v Paul</h2><p></p><p>The <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/tennis/market/1.217017485"><strong>tournament winner market</strong></a> cannot split Alcaraz and Djokovic (both at <b class="inline_odds" title="11/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">3.15</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">11/5</span></b> for the title at the time of writing), while Daniil Medvedev <b class="inline_odds" title="9/2"><span class="inline_odds__main">5.7</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">9/2</span></b> is a clear third favourite with all other contenders in double-digit pricing or greater.</p><p>Based on current market pricing, we are looking at around a 75-80% implied odds chance that the title winner will come from the three market leaders.</p><p>To continue his tournament, Alcaraz must defeat Tommy Paul, which he failed to do last week at the Rogers Cup. The world number one lost 3-6 6-4 3-6 to the American, and his price has risen from <b class="inline_odds" title="1/5"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.20</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">1/5</span></b> last week to a current <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/atp-cincinnati-2023/carlos-alcaraz-v-paul-betting-32563112"><b class="inline_odds" title="30/100"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.31</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">30/100</span></b></a> this week, as the<strong> market reacts</strong> to that defeat in Canada.</p><h2>Djokovic and Medvedev with continued success over opponents</h2><p></p><p>Novak Djokovic is heavy favourite to end Gael Monfils' journey this week and history suggesting that the Serbian will do so, having defeated the veteran Frenchman <strong>19 times out of 19</strong> when they've played each other in their professional careers.</p><p>Under a little more pressure in terms of market expectation is <strong>Daniil Medvedev</strong>, who is <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/atp-cincinnati-2023/a-zverev-v-medvedev-betting-32563107"><b class="inline_odds" title="8/15"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.54</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">8/15</span></b></a> to progress at the expense of <strong>Alexander Zverev</strong>. The duo have met 16 times already with Medvedev 10-6 up and having won nine of the 10 clashes since the start of 2020, so Zverev will be needing to overturn history himself if he is to pick up an underdog win.</p><p>Hard court data suggests that this match is Medvedev's to lose and in my view there are worse spots to back a pre-match favourite than Medvedev here.</p><div class="bet_promo_banner"> <p>Back Medvedev @ <b class="inline_odds" title="8/15"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.54</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">8/15</span></b></p> <a target="_blank" href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/tennis/market/1.217193633" class="bet_promo_banner__link" rel="noopener">Bet now</a></div><h2>Tsitsipas facing another high-variance match-up</h2><p></p><p>It will be fascinating also to see how <strong>Stefanos Tsitsipas</strong> <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/atp-cincinnati-2023/tsitsipas-v-hurkacz-betting-32563453"><b class="inline_odds" title="8/15"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.55</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">8/15</span></b></a> deals with the threat posed by <strong>Hubert Hurkacz</strong>. The Greek has won six of the eight times they've met on the main tour but Hurkacz hasn't made life easy, with six of their last seven decided in the final set and the other by a tiebreak.</p><p>So, after Tsitsipas needed to ride the variance train yesterday with two tiebreaks against Ben Shelton, he could well be required to do so again here against another competent server. Hurkacz poses more threat on return than Shelton.</p><p>In other matches, I would be surprised if <strong>Mackenzie Mcdonald</strong> was unable to see off Adrian Mannarino, but the market line looks fairly reasonable.</p><p>I also like the chances of <strong>Stan Wawrinka</strong> keeping his run here going with a win over Max Purcell, who has done well to get to this stage having gone through qualifiers. Both McDonald and Wawrinka are priced around the <b class="inline_odds" title="8/13"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.60</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">8/13</span></b> mark to win.</p></ul> </div> </div> <div class="recommended_bets betslip_goto auto_banners" data-banner_cta="Join"> <h3>Recommended bets</h3> <div class="editor editor--reversed"> <a href="https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/en/tennis/atp-cincinnati-2023/a-zverev-v-medvedev-betting-32563107">Back Daniil Medvedev at <b class="inline_odds" title="8/15"><span class="inline_odds__main">1.54</span><span class="inline_odds__tooltip">8/15</span></b></a> </div> </div> <section class="betting_copy"> <div class="editor"> <h2 class="promo-name bf-sportsbook" data-qa="promo-name">New customers can get £20 in free bets!</h2> <p>New customers can earn £20 in free bets when they place a £5 bet on the Sportsbook after signing up. <a href="https://promos.betfair.com/promotion?promoCode=ACQZBHC01B5G20">T&Cs apply.</a></p> 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