Sectional Debrief: Kempton, Sunday January 19

Simon Rowlands has examined the sectionals from Kempton
Simon Rowlands has examined the sectionals from Kempton

Simon Rowlands identifies two horses worth following based on the sectionals they clocked at Kempton on Sunday...

"Almost as fast, however, was the finish of seventh-placed My Scat Daddy (34.7s), who turned in in last place and comes out second-best on sectionals..."

Kempton's Sunday card was the tenth all-weather one of the week in the UK, providing further evidence, were it needed, that this section of the sport is helping to keep the show on the road this winter. There were just two more jumps meetings in that period, many of them run on scarcely raceable ground, plus two cancellations. Kempton's surface was standard, about 7 lb quicker than for the two cards at the course previously this year.  

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In contrast to some other occasions recently, at least half of the races were truly-run. After small individual sectional adjustments, the times of the races won by Spellmaker, Shaolin, The Ginger Berry and Rigolleto are all as good, or nearly as good, as might be expected for horses of their abilities. Spellmaker and Shaolin came from several lengths back at the sectional, while the other two were close up. 

The Ginger Berry came home a bit slower than par, but his rivals did so even more, and his six-length margin of victory may flatter him slightly. Rigolleto was another winner to run closest to par, and the effort of Bajan Bear behind him (ran fastest closing sectional of about 34.8s to be third) goes into the notebook. 

The most slowly-run race of all - as reflected in the high finishing speed as a % of average race speed - was the concluding one. The winner Medam ran about 34.5s for the last 3f - bettered only by the useful sprinter Forest Edge on the card - and deserves plenty of credit. Almost as fast, however, was the finish of seventh-placed My Scat Daddy (34.7s), who turned in in last place and comes out second-best on sectionals. 

The winning efforts of Reality Show and Artistical look suspect on the clock, with respective front-runners Fire In Babylon and Leitrim Pass most advantaged of the principals.

The two "to follow" horses to run at the weekend, Naabegha and Desert Wings, ran abjectly, the former finding nothing, the latter probably losing his race by getting worked up beforehand. Nonetheless, the scores since this Sectional Debrief series was launched in mid-April are as follows: 
130 bets, 50 successful for 38.5% strike rate, +47.68 (risking 1 pt, back or lay) at Betfair SP before commission, for a return on investment of +37.0%

The Sectional Debrief will be taking a short break but will return in February, when its scope should be extended. The central remit will still be to make sense of results through sectional analysis while identifying interesting horses for both laying and backing purposes.

To follow:
Bajan Bear and My Scat Daddy


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