Simon Rowlands examines the sectional times from this week's action at Kempton, nominating three to follow and one to take on...
"Interestingly, sixth-placed Waveguide (in second three furlongs out) emerges as third-best on sectionals and only just behind the leading pair with a sectional rating of 78."
Wednesday's and Thursday's Kempton all-weather meetings can be viewed as separate entities. Not only did the surface appear to be around 10 lb quicker on the former day, the races on that day were remarkably truly-run, with average sectionals mark-ups of the winners being just 1 lb (it was two and a half times that on Thursday).
There is not much to see here, though the sectionals and the overall times pointed to Donncha's winning effort being quite a bit better than form analysis alone suggested (the form rating now reflects this). Strong-finishing runner-up Itsnowcato gets the same 86 sectional figure and looks up to going one better in ordinary maiden company.
Glorious Sinndar comes out equal to Groovejet in the second division of that maiden, but the level of achievement looks quite a bit lower. Pace-forcers were slightly unsuited in the concluding 11-furlong handicap, but those pace-forcers (Colinca's Lad and Anjuna Beach) came back in over 40.0s for the last three furlongs and ran nowhere near well enough to be interesting next time.
There was more going on, from a sectional point of view, on day two, with the mile fillies' handicap won by Araqella an especially interesting contest. The leaders went too fast in this race, and the filly who ran closest to par was actually fifth-placed Flamborough Breeze, who was plum last three furlongs out and threatened to pass all her rivals until her effort petered out in the final furlong.
The time was decent, but individual runners were advantaged/disadvantaged to varying degrees. Araqella and Welsh Sunrise came from mid-field at the sectional and did quite well in filling the first two places, but the next three to finish did rather less well from positions further back. Interestingly, sixth-placed Waveguide (in second three furlongs out) emerges as third-best on sectionals and only just behind the leading pair with a sectional rating of 78. Waveguide is a maiden, but may not remain one for much longer judged on this.
The race won by Kind Invitation was one in which being prominent (which was the case with the winner) should have been a help. Second-placed Water Hole comes out slightly better on sectionals, while a few further back can be rated closer than the result. All in all, it looks worth anticipating less than usual improvement from the winner.
The six-furlong nursery won in good style by Nova Princesse tested speed even by sprinting standards. Djinni was worst placed of all entering the straight and, while making only a little headway thereafter, can be given another chance. As an unexposed filly from a good stable, she makes additional appeal at this sort of level.
To follow: Djinni, Itsnowcato, Waveguide
To oppose: Kind Invitation
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