Sunday ITV Racing Tips: Tony Calvin's going for Victory at Sandown

Sandown race start action
Sandown is one of three meetings on ITV Racing on Sunday

The ITV Racing cameras are at Sandown, Cartmel and Naas on Sunday afternoon, and our man Tony Calvin has picked out a trio of bets for you to consider...

"He won in a very good time and he beat two bang in-form horses there (the odds-on favourite was beaten 3 lengths), and even the fourth and fifth came into the race on the back of good efforts. He is also one from one at the track, so he is well worth a tickle.

Victory Chime at 7.06/1 or bigger in 14:30 at Sandown

I wasn't expecting a couple of Cartmel handicaps and a 2yo median auction race at Naas to be on the ITV3 roster along with Sandown on Sunday, but variety can be the spice of betting - I think I may just have lied there, but I haven't had a good look at the races just yet - so let's crack on.

I make no excuses for starting at the Esher venue and I may as well take the races in chronological order, starting with the 5f handicap at 14:00.

In-form sprinter could relish conditions

With a dry Saturday forecast, I am working on the basis of good to soft ground at Sandown on Sunday, and that will suit Saaheq, who appealed most at the prices at around 9/1 on the exchange.

He ran his best race of the campaign when second to an improver at Kempton last time and he should relish the ground if the ease remains, as two of his better efforts have come on soft, both as recently as last season and off higher marks than this.

Furthermore, he can boast a win and a good fourth in this race last year (where he may well have won with a clear run) in two course starts, and he looks worthy of a small bet at 10.09/1 or bigger.

The form of the yard is worrying but at least Saaheq himself comes here after a good run last time off this mark. And he has form on quicker ground, including in this race last year, if it does dry out appreciably in the next 24 hours.

Chime all set to taste another Victory

Muraad looks pretty short to me at the top of the betting for the 1m2f handicap at 14:30 - it could be the dramatic come-from-behind manner of his Goodwood win that has influenced the layers - and the two that interested me at bigger prices were Victory Chime and Good Birthday.

Good Birthday is a winner in waiting off his falling mark of 92 if he ever shows more sparkle, as he is now 6lb lower than this Cambridgeshire third to Lord North, but he couldn't be backed with any confidence in his current nick, for all quotes of 14/1 were tempting.

However, Victory Chime is another small-stakes punt at 7.06/1 or bigger.

He has a winning record and attitude, with seven successes in 17 outings, and that determination was again in evidence when he inched home by a head at Windsor last time, where he did it without the assistance of the visor he sported in his last three outings on the Flat.

He is not flashy and will never be the sort to win by far - five of his seven wins have been by ½ length or less - so you may want to listen to this race from behind the sofa, as it will be tight even if he does prevail, but that has the advantage that he is never hit too hard by the handicapper.

So he has been raised just 2lb for that Windsor win, and that could be lenient.

Firstly, he won in a very good time and he beat two bang in-form horses there (the odds-on favourite was beaten 3 lengths), and even the fourth and fifth came into the race on the back of good efforts.

He is also one from one at the track, so he is well worth a tickle.

Decent races but no further bets at Sandown or Naas

The Group 3 Atalanta Stakes at 15:05 looks a very trappy race to call, and it could also be a tactical race too, with so little guaranteed pace in the line-up.

I don't see anything in the betting to entice me to part with cash - the favourite, Quadrilateral, would probably be last on the list - and the same also applies to the seven-runner Solario Stakes at 15:40 though the form horse Dubai Fountain does look a shade overpriced.

I suppose the previously mentioned median auction race at Naas at 14:50 does carry a first prize of nearly 150,000 euros to the winner, so it is rather more interesting than I made out earlier!

It has predictably attracted a field of 20 runners, and Devious Company backs up quickly after finishing second in the valuable sales race at York on Thursday.

He is the form choice here but I don't have a betting opinion. I may have chucked a few quid at Chief Little Hawk at a double-figure price but he could have his work cut out from his draw in 17.

The other Naas race on ITV3 is the fillies and mares 1m6f Group 3 at 15:20 but the betting has this one right, with Gowran Park winner Kastasa heading the market.

Going for a Beeno to Cartmel

Over to Cartmel then - not something I expected to be saying or writing, I must admit - and to my surprise I found a bet in the shape of Beeno in the extended 2m2f handicap hurdle at 13:45.

I am working on the basis of soft ground at Cartmel judged on the wet weather forecast on Saturday (it is currently good to soft, soft in places, anyway) and that should just suit the selection just fine, though he is ground-versatile.

He showed more when second to a big improver at Perth last time and was dropped another 1lb for it, while his course record of 411123112 is clearly outstanding. One of those successes actually came in this race in 2017

He stays a lot further than this trip, so testing conditions would be a plus, and he was actually 8/1 in a place on Saturday morning, which looked pretty big.

He likes to go forward, so the fact that there are two pace rivals in here is not ideal - though he did take a lead when winning this race three years ago - but he still rates a bet at 8.07/1 or bigger, for all he is an 11yo now.

Nothing interests me in the handicap chase, so just the three bets for me on Sunday.

Good luck. It has been a long week.

Get a Free £/€20 Exchange Bet

  • Join Now - Open your account today using promo code VAL225
  • Bet - Place a £/€20 Bet on the Exchange
  • Earn - £/€20 Back in cash if your bet loses
Bet Now

T&Cs apply.

Discover the latest articles

Read past articles