Alan Dudman had a big price runner-up in the Ayr Gold Cup yesterday that was beaten at 30/1001.31 in-running. He's signing off for the week with two final bets at Hamilton on Sunday...
"He's one of the three-year-olds in the line-up and is the big player here from a handicap debut mark of 65."
Lydiate looks a live contender with front-running duties
14:05 Hamilton - Back Lydiate Lady @ 7/18.0
Spanish City almost got there for the column at a big price, and it was through gritted teeth when I viewed his in-play low of 30/1001.31. It was a cracking effort, though, and I hope he gets his much-deserved win before the season's out. He stays on the list after yesterday.
Onwards and upwards to Sunday we go.
The Hamilton card throws up some fairly low-grade racing for the afternoon, but there could be an opportunity for Lydiate Lady to return to form at a decent price of 7/18.0.
With a lack of winning form amongst her rivals, I am hoping the selection can replicate her effort over course and distance in July - when she finished second to a stronger stayer but raced with plenty of enthusiasm.
She held onto her position near-side in that, and from her draw in nine for Sunday, I expect a repeat of the tactics from jockey Gemma Tutty. She's also dropping down in class slightly from 0-65. Although to a 0-60, it's a very slight one.
She is fairly adaptable with the going with form on both good and heavy and from a mark of 59, I'm expecting a decent effort and can easily put a line through her run on the fibresand last time at Southwell.
Liberty to show the power to win on handicap debut
16:40 Hamilton - Back Liberty Power @ 7/24.5
The 16:40 1m1f handicap presents a tricky poser. Ghayyar could be thrown in on his old form with his rating of 61, but he hasn't won for a while. Whilst Edgar Allan Poe is dropping in class for a yard hitting form - but he wants soft conditions in my opinion.
Preference is with the unexposed Tim Easterby runner Liberty Power. Back him at 7/24.50.
He's one of the three-year-olds in the line-up and is the big player here from a handicap debut mark of 65. The first-time tongue-tie should also help.
The market hasn't warmed to him in his three starts to date and he was a huge price last time out at Wolverhampton. He was awkward at the start and failed to get away cleanly in a race wrapped up by a subsequent winner off a mark of 90, so there is certainly something to work with.
Ghayyar should be considered in the Place market with nine runners, but I'll stick with potential over exposed form.
Alan Dudman's P&L
2020 Overall: -11.21
*All bets to a 0.5pt stake unless stated otherwise
2020 Festival Bets Of Day (Ascot & Cheltenham): +17.60 (1pt stake)
2020 Irish Racing Tips: +34.20 (1pt stake)
Back Lydiate Lady @ 7/18.0 in the 14:05 at Hamilton
Back Liberty Power @ 7/24.50 in the 16:40 at Hamilton