Horse Racing Tips: Timeform's three best bets at Newton Abbot on Friday

Jumps racing
There is jumps racing from Newton Abbot on Friday

Timeform pick out their best back, lay and stats-based bets on Friday...

"...this winning pointer should have more to offer now switching to handicaps..."

Timeform on De Barley Basket

Back
Saintbury Lady - 17:55 Newton Abbot

Saintbury Lady proved a different proposition when successful on her handicap debut at Southwell last month, hitting the front after two out and quickly forging clear, ultimately winning by five and a half lengths with plenty in hand. That form sets the standard here on Timeform's weight-adjusted ratings - even with an 11 lb hike in the weights taken into account - and her scope for further improvement suggests a bold follow-up bid is likely for the Fergal O'Brien yard that continues in top form (eight winners from last 26 runners).

Lay
Bermeo - 19:55 Newton Abbot

Bermeo returned to form after six months off when winning at Uttoxeter last time, but he looks opposable in his follow-up bid from 5 lb higher. His in-and-out profile certainly suggests he is far from certain to build on that effort, while he has often looked a difficult ride, too, including when coming off the bridle a long way out in two of his three starts at this venue last summer. Preference is for the lightly raced Glengar, who has made an excellent start to life over fences and is fancied to gain a second success.

Smart Stat
De Barley Basket - 18:25 Newton Abbot

£73.85 - Ben Pauling's profit to a £1 level stake when having only one runner on the card (hurdles)

Ben Pauling is always worth following when sending just the one runner to a meeting, and he is likely to have high hopes of adding to his tally here with De Barley Basket. Admittedly, he has shown only fair form in three starts over hurdles to date, but this winning pointer should have more to offer now switching to handicaps from a potentially lenient mark, with every chance that a recent breathing operation could also bring about some improvement.


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