"...shaped better than the bare result when second (beaten just a length and a half) at Yarmouth last time..."
Timeform pick out their best back, lay and stats-based bets at Chelmsford on Thursday...
Back
Alba del Sole - 14:10 Chelmsford
Alba del Sole caught the eye when second on her most recent outing at Bath, finding herself with nowehere to go at a crucial stage of the race and doing well under the circumstances to finish as close as she did, staying on strongly once in the clear to be beaten just a length. She is only 2 lb higher here and rates very much the one to beat on weight-adjusted ratings if building on that effort, with this 0-65 also representing a slight drop in grade.
Lay
Pull Harder Con - 13:40 Chelmsford
Pull Harder Con could be worth opposing in this handicap after coming up short in his four-timer bid at Yarmouth on Tuesday. Admittedly, he probably wasn't seen to best effect given how the race developed, but there's also a good chance that the handicapper now has his measure, fully 11 lb higher than when belatedly opening his account at Thirsk in July. His record on the all-weather (0/5) isn't up to much, either, and he's likely to need another career best to get his head back in front after only two days off.
Smart Stat
Motamayiz - 15:10 Chelmsford
20% - Roger Varian's strike rate with horses running over 10f+
Motamayiz shaped better than the bare result when second (beaten just a length and a half) at Yarmouth last time, never nearer than at the finish after conceding a positional advantage and first run to the winner. That rival gave the form a boost when following up on his next start at Salisbury, and, in truth, it will be disappointing if Motamayiz can't go one place better this time from only 2 lb higher, with further improvement on the cards on just his second start at this trip for Roger Varian.