It is the penultimate Sunday of the Deauville summer season. Patrick Weaver previews the four Group races on the 8-race card...
"Nazeef is one of the reasons Dettori was content to miss York this week. I don't see him making any mistake during the race and she looks the day's banker."
Deauville's month in the sun peaks today with a strong card. It tapers off from Tuesday and within the next 10 days, racing moves back to Paris with jumping at Auteuil and Arc trials at Longchamp.
The first of the four Group races - all of which feature Frankie Dettori - is the Darley Prix Morny at 13:35. It is worth €210,000 compared to the other major six-furlong race for two-year-olds last Friday - the Gimcrack at York worth £100,000.
Morny odds based on Royal Ascot form
Six of the nine that line up have run in England, which makes analysis easier. The Sportsbook odds compilers are right in making two of the three Royal Ascot winners Tactical and Campanelle the market leaders.
Tactical won the Windsor Castle, Campanelle the Queen Mary - both races are over five. What separates them is that Campanelle hasn't run since whereas Tactical then went to Newmarket and won the Group 2 July Stakes impressively. Despite being short of room when William Buick wanted to launch his challenge, he hit the front 100 yards out and won going away.
Of the two, I must side with Tactical as we have no idea how Campanelle will cope with the extra furlong and soft ground.
The longest-priced of the three winners at the royal meeting is Clive Cox's Nando Parrado, the shock 150/1 winner of the Coventry. It may seem an insult that he is four times Tactical's odds for this race but he has not been out since and those behind him have done little to frank the form.
The Richard Fahey-trained 11/2 shot Rhythm Master should make the first three. He clocked a fast time over six on his debut at Haydock when running right away from Solent Gateway and subsequent Newbury nursery winner Rolfe Rembrandt. He would need to improve 10lb to trouble Tactical, who is officially rated 110, but he is proven on the ground and should not be far behind the favourite.
Cairn Gorm's Group Three success over course and distance followed wins at Newbury and Windsor. He has an excellent attitude and is tough but, like the other Group Three winner Livachope, he's in the deep end this Sunday.
Classy Nazeef can dominate the Prix Jean Romanet
The second Group One is the Prix Jean Romanet at 14:50. It is for fillies and mares over 10 furlongs with Dettori on the short-priced favourite Nazeef. A winner at the highest level over a mile, she was the first four-year-old home in the Nassau at Goodwood on her first attempt at this trip.
She may not have won over 10 furlongs but she finished in front of Group One winners Magic Wand and Deirdre, so she will do for me.
Nazeef is one of the reasons Dettori was content to miss York this week. I don't see him making any mistake during the race and she looks the day's banker.
Next in the betting are the Listed winners Bolleville 5/1 and Dariyma 7/1 with Romanciere who was three lengths behind Dariyma at Chantilly on 11/1. I can't have any of them each-way. Listed winners have a poor record in Group 1s, especially four-year-olds who have had two seasons to win a Group race.
I would sooner back Ambition for a place as she won a Group 2 at Lyon Parilly on her last start. That was over 11 furlongs on soft, so you know she has stamina and goes in the mud. Put in at 12s she has been backed down to 9/1.
Suphala and Velma Valento finished a neck apart behind Dariyma, Romanciere and Soudania at Chantilly - so they need to improve on that run. James Fanshawe's Audarya is an in-form handicapper taking her chance. There is a Group 2 at the Curragh in three weeks time for her, and she would have a better chance in that than she has in this exalted company.
With my main each-way fancy, Durance, a non-runner Nazeef looks a banker bet while Ambition worth an each-way saver at 9s.
Wind should blow his rivals away
The Prix Kergorlay at 15:25 should go to Call The Wind. One of the top stayers in Europe, the six-year-old son of Frankel was unlucky in running at Chantilly last time. Once he got out, his strong finish took him past Get Shirty but it was not enough to catch San Huberto who got first run on him. Crucially San Huberto has a 2lb penalty for that win, so Call The Wind really ought to beat him if Olivier Peslier can time his run right.
Dettori's mount Red Verdon is one to consider. He picked up his 2lb penalty by winning a Group 2 at Longchamp last month from Called To The Bar and San Huberto. He beat the third a length and a half but is 3lb worse off with him, so they are hard to separate. First or second in the majority of his 35 races, he has to go on the shortlist.
Collide has been sold by Khalid Abdullah since he finished third in the Northumberland Plate when in the care of Hugo Palmer. This is his first start for David Simcock and he will need to improve a few pounds to figure in his first Group race.
Dettori can grab more Group race Glory in the Prix Pomone
The Darley Prix de Pomone at 16:00 is not an easy race to solve but I do know the Italian trainer and owners of Grand Glory are pleased to have got Dettori for their filly. They would have run her in the Prix Jean Romanet but when told Dettori was available they decided to use this race as her Arc prep rather than the Group One contest.
Third in last year's French Oaks, she has run two solid races this year. First up, she beat Romanciere and Bolleville in a Listed at Longchamp. She was then beaten in a photo by Ambition in the Group 2 Prix Corrida at Lyon Parilly, with Spirit Of Nelson a length back.
The German raider Satomi comes on from Hamburg where she won the Grosser Hansa-Preis going away. That run, and her sixth at Longchamp in a Group 1 over a mile and six last autumn, entitle her to be placed.
Brian Meehan's Spirit Of Appin has yet to show she is as good this year as last when she won a Group 3 at Newmarket last September.