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O'Brien's Juvenile caught the eye last time
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Ideal conditions to take a step forward
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Useful on the flat and can get off the mark over hurdles
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We're now NRMB on all 28 Cheltenham Festival races
13:25 Naas - Back Trustyourinstinct @ 4/15.00 1pt
It might be worth taking a slight chance on Joseph O'Brien's Trustyourinstinct - 4/15.00 on the Betfair Sportsbook - who should be all the better for his first run over obstacles at Fairyhouse in what has turned out to be a deep race.
The four-year-old was formerly very smart on the flat in three starts, and he was entitled to need his first outing after a gelding operation and having been off the track for 177 days. He put in an encouraging performance, having been given a mountain to do from the rear of the field in a steady run race, but loomed up at two out only to fade late, likely at the expense of his free-going nature, lack of fitness and making his move too early.
Still, it was an eye-catching performance, particularly given the winner and runner-up were thrown into Grade 2 company on their previous outings. The third is an impressive winner since. The well-held fifth from that race was a narrow second to Bottler'secret on the flat in October, and that one just might need the experience today.
Trustyourinstinct showed he had a good future in this sphere, and there's undoubtedly a bigger performance in him as his latest outing screamed that he was being taught his trade. With that experience under his belt, he can take the scalp of today's short-priced favourite, who is flattered by her rating, having won poor races in Britain the last twice.
Woodhoo only just clung on at Down Royal in November, and a line through the runner-up there suggests the selection may not have as much to find as the "rating" suggests. I am happy to play at 4/15.00 or bigger.
Cheltenham Festival 2024: Three horses to back in Non-Runner Money Back markets - by James Mackie
Recommended bets
Back Trustyourinstinct to win the 13:25 at Naas @ 4/15.00 1pt win
DARYL CARTER'S P/L
2024 P/L = Next update (monthly) March 1st
2024 P/L = +29.38 ROI 33.59%
BSP P/L = +9.5 ROI 10.89%
DARYL'S P/L HISTORY
2021 P/L = +187pts 12% ROI
2022 P/L = + 137.1pts ROI 8.72% +22.7pts BSP 1.44% ROI
2023 P/L = +112.63pts ROI 8.86% +99.4pts BSP 7.84% ROI
2023 P/L (Incl ante) Total = +146.63 ROI 11.5%