Dashing Roger - 25/126.00 on the Betfair Sportsbook - looks a very fair price from a good draw in stall seven, and with the rain arriving Saturday morning, he should have conditions to put his best foot forward.
Last time, he had little chance in the Group 2 Summer Mile at Ascot when well beaten by Master Of The Seas at odds of 66/167.00, but it's worth just putting a line through that effort.
He is better judged when dropping a big hint that he is about to return to form at Chester when a narrow third behind subsequent Recar Zetland Gold Cup runner-up and Ascot scorer City Streak who is now eight pounds higher in the handicap. From that race, the fourth, sixth and eighth have all come out and won, and that distance of 1m2f (his third attempt 0-3) stretched his stamina.
That was Dashing Roger's second start of the season, having had little chance to get involved in the action on return at Leicester when held up off a steady pace (usually ridden prominently).
He cut little mustard last season when too high in the handicap, rated 104 and stuck between a rock and a hard place, and, admittedly, you have to go back to 2021 to find his most progressive season.
Still, he has dropped from 104 down to 85, and his jockey now claims a further five off his back, meaning he is effectively running off his lowest rating since 2020 (80).
Dashing Roger never gave the impression once last season he was ready to return to form, so it's wise to be positive about his Chester run two starts back.
He drops in grade into a Class 3 for just the third time since May 2021, with a record of 31421 since 2020.
He is sure to be suited by any rain that falls with RPRs on soft/heavy ground that reads 75, 82, 96, 101, 104, 101, 80, 70, and his latest Chester run a step back in the right direction of 91.
He is yet to run at this Goodwood venue, but this track should suit him and his prominent racing style. He has won over 7f and 1m and had shown speed for six in the past, so this easy 1m should prove right up his street.
He makes plenty of appeal at anything bigger than 11/112.00 for an each-way bet. It's rare for trainer William Stone to have a runner at this venue - he has only had four and none in the last five years. He has a well-handicapped horse on his hands, and today is the day to be on him.
Back Dashing Roger e/w @ 25/126.00
Back Sweet William to win the 14:25 at Goodwood @ BSP 2pt win
Back Post Impressionist in the 14:25 at Goodwood @ 9/19.80 1pt e/w 4 places
Back Albasheer in the 15:35 at Goodwood @ BSP 0.5pt win
Back Redarna in the 16:00 at Thirsk @ 16/117.00 0.5pt e/w 4 places
Back Dashing Roger in the 17:20 at Goodwood @ 25/126.00 1pt e/w 4 places
Since Jan 1st 2023 - Updated Monthly - NEXT UPDATE 1st Sept
Advised Stakes = +66.02pts ROI 8.23%
SP = -38.6pts ROI -4%
BSP = +100.2Ppts ROI +12.49%
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Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.
