Alan Dudman plays a 23/1 Sportsbook double on Tuesday
Haynes red hot with 2yos
Back Profitable Dreams @ 5/1
A rather frustrating race at Catterick yesterday with Jamih, who couldn't nick a place for Monday's column, and was a huge drifter too. Frustrating in the sense that Turbulent Power looked an awful price beforehand given his three seconds previously and short trades in defeat.
Lo and behold he was done at a short price again - matched in defeat at 1.21/5. Right call, wrong horse in opposition.
Tuesday's action is mostly low grade handicaps, and with York around the corner, I am giving those a bit of a side-step a la Chris Waddle and opting for a pair of juveniles with stats to back up the picks.
Alice Haynes is a trainer enjoying the patronage of Amo Racing, and her strike-rate at the moment of 60% with 6-10 turf 2yos is leading me to a 5/1 play in Profitable Dreams. She's also had three places from the 10.
Profitable Dreams ran just six days ago at Kempton, so she clearly is an early type. But she couldn't match the burst of speed behind the winner that day on the AW, a winner that was quite speedy too for Archie Watson with the benefit of experience.
She didn't cost a lot of money, but with her dam a winner over 7f, a stiff track like Chepstow might suit her better.
Mullins Beach has had three starts at 11/4 and looks beatable, and we can't have another Mullins winning.
Amo and Stott to get a Sandown winner
Back Graceful Thunder @ 3/1
Amo Racing clearly want winners, early winners too and Graceful Thunder was slightly weak in the betting this morning from 5/2 to 3/1, but I cannot see her drifting too badly for the Sandown 17:40.
Graceful Thunder has top drawer sprinter Fleeting Spirit in her pedigree, and cost 90k as a breeze-up for the football agent Kia Joorabchian.
Her sire Havana Grey is 12% win and 25% at Sandown, and Kevin Stott only has one ride on the card this evening with this filly.
Stott is currently 13-58 at 22%, but shows a profit of +20.87, and is 4-28 for trainer George Boughey, although it's their first runner together at Sandown tonight.
Usually the Amo horses can go off short enough, but 3/1 is worth a chance for me.