Alan sticks to AW with 30/1 Betfair Sportsbook double
High time for another Ado winner
Back Hightimeyouwon @ 4.03/1 16:37 Kempton
One of the most frustrating aspects of following a horse is leaving it alone after you've backed it two or three times only for it to pop up and deliver on the next start.
Hodd's Girl is a fine example, as I had her in this tipping column twice when she finished second and fourth, and of course last tme out she produced a career best to win.
That victory has put her up to an astonishing 95, and what a horse she's been since her rating of 57 back in August. She locks horns again with Hightimeyouwon - who she was behind at Dundalk on the 4 January, and I am hoping it's Hightimeyouwon's turn.
I get the feeling the selection will be better over 7f today rather than the 1m he raced over last time. He didn't look a natural stayer over the distance behind an impressive 87-rated winner. It was a good race on the whole with Johnny Murtagh's Final Voyage in third.
He has some excellent Premier Handicap form to his name, despite the fact his trainer Ado McGuinness has said he's better on turf (I'm already thinking Galway). The 7yo is still relatively lightly-raced on the All-Weather with just four starts and he is very well treated from his current mark of 79.
Hightimeyouwon should be dropped in here with a bit of cover from his inside draw in one, and Cian McRedmond claims 5lb. Great credit to Hodd's Girl though, and what a horse she has been for the yard this winter.
New trip for Art can help the breakthrough
Back Oriental Art @ 7.06/1 in the 19:30 at Kempton
David Simcock is a tricky yard to get right - for me anyway. The hold-up tactics usually employed can be frustrating at times, but you tend to get a bit of value with his runners and I wouldn't be surprised if Oriental Art drifts for this evening.
He is a 0-16 horse with five seconds, so he's hardly a runner screaming to be backed, but he looks worth a shot at the 2m this evening. He is certainly one to consider for an each-way bet with the three places.
It was a case of same old, same old at Chelmsford going as far back to last August, when he was dropped a long way off the pace and was forced wide. He had a go at 1m2f too that summer over Brighton's 1m2f - a trip that proved far too sharp for him.
The 5yo has come back this winter after a break with two fair efforts at Wolverhampton and Kempton over 1m4f and 1m3f - meeting trouble again from his rear position in the latter.
At Wolves, they went a slow pace and once again there was a legitimate excuse, although there are many stacking up now.
Going up to 2m might enable him to get his head in front finally, and considering he hasn't had a massively busy winter, and he's floating around a mark and grade he is up to at least placing.
Of Simcock's six winners so far this year, five have been with his older horses at a 17% strike-rate.