Wolverhampton stages a good card and Alan eyes two fillies to improve
David Probert the leading rider at the Midlands' circuit this term
Alan Dudman is playing an 70/1 Sportsbook double on Saturday on the All-Weather
Frankel stats make a case for each-way play
Back Cloud Angel each-way @ 11.010/1 in the 17:50 at Wolverhampton
Another frustrating day with a non-runner yesterday, which makes it two nons from Thursday and Friday, so I am taking no chances with ground and I am heading to Wolves tonight for what looks a good card. Hopefully both run, as that's what the multiple is all about!
I never mind getting involved with a 2yo or 3yo race, and John Gosden has two newcomers in the 1m1f 17:50. Due to the fact the top two with experience are both 13/8, Gosden's pair of Sweet Memories and Cloud Angel are 8/1 and 10s and are well worth an interest here to nick or place, or go even better to win.
Cloud Angel 11.010/1 is the preference in the famous green and white of George Strawbridge, and the 2yo has a ton of stamina in her pedigree - as not only as a Frankel, but Order Of St George is in there too. One of her relations Australian Angel got 1m6f down the line, and the dam is by former American horse of the year Ghostzapper.
The each-way angle is interesting on sire stats alone, as Frankel at Dunstall Park as a 17% win record and 31% placed. I imagine she could drift in the betting too with her draw in 12, and I never mind backing an 'Old Man Gozzy' drifter on the All-Weather.
Davey Probert rides, and he is the leading jockey at Wolverhampton this season with 19-91 and a strike-rate of near 21% and a profit of +13.63.
Carzola can improve to land a blow in a winnable race
Back Carzola @ 6.511/2 in the 19:50 at Wolverhampton
We're going down the novice route again, and I have to oppose the 13/8 favourite Sunstone, whom I put up as a tip last time at the track. She got a horror ride on that occasion over CD, but it's four starts now and the excuses are mounting up.
I prefer the Ralph Beckett filly Carzola, who didn't show an awful lot on debut over 1m1f at Wolverhampton 49 days ago, but there are some form lines from that that sparked some interest. The second that evening Into The Spotlight had previously been beaten by only 6L behind Maghlaak, and I think he's going to be a good horse with some soft ground next year.
The third Halic has since finished runner-up to the well-bred Sea Gifted.
Overall, Carzola's debut was a bit of a waste of time, as they dawdled and went no pace and a race finishing speed of 113% is one of the highest I've seen for a while (ie turning into a sprint off slow fractions).
That wouldn't have entirely suited as her dam got 1m4f. The step up in trip could unlock some improvement, and this is a weak race.
It's shame there are only seven runners for this to negate the each-way angle somewhat, but two places for her and three for the Cloud Angel is worth a look, especially as I am keen to take on Sunstone.
October/November singles winners:
Sleeping Satellite 15/8 Won
Lifetime Ambition 9/1 Placed
Rebellious Gale 9/2 Placed
Lunar Discovery 2/1 Won
Favour And Fortune 11/2 Win and Place
Halsafari 9/1 Placed
Tagabawa 4/5 Won
Documenting 7/2 Won
I See You Well 17/2 Placed
Eva's Oskar 8/1 Placed
Sea Gifted 11/4 Won
Sweet Will 9/1 Won and Placed
Vaynor 7/4 Won
Magical Vision 10/1 Won and Placed
De Legislator 9/10 Won
Captain Quint 2/1 Won
Fiston Du Mou 5/2 Won
Rickety Gate 5/2 Won
Warren Point 9/4 Won
Pennymoor 17/2 Won and Placed
Tarhib 5/1 Won
Hoganville 3/1 Won
Sole Pretender 9/1 Placed R4
Maximilian Evens Won
Another Odyssey 5/4 Won
Magnetic North 16/1 Placed
Mr Alan 4/1 Won
Bright Diamond 13/2 Placed
Hurtle 2/1 Won
Good Impression 3/1 Won
Soft Whisper 2/1 Won