Friday to make it a good Thursday
Back Black Friday @ 11.010/1 each-way in the 15:00 at Ayr
A second place and third yesterday was the best we could manage, although I was surprised Willem Twee didn't go shorter than 2.47/5 in-running.
On with Thursday, and rain is in the air which means a thorough test at Ayr. I like Black Friday at a price, and have included him as a bet in today's Daily Racing News column.
Mike Smith's 7yo looks too well treated to ignore considering he is down to 78 from a season-starting mark of 89.
Ayr 6f horses on soft ground need to stay a bit further for me, and Black Friday not only goes well here, but also sees out a 1m well enough. His stamina could be crucial if heavy gets into the description.
He was second over CD in a 0-95 behind Lampang at the start of the season, and this looks far easier despite the 0-85 grade. With a win on soft and a potential front-running performance, he can outrun his odds.
Expect another big win for Vaults
Back City Vaults @ 3.1085/40 in the 17:15 at Ayr
City Vaults was just about the easiest winner I have ever picked out for the Multiples' column with his success at Redcar last month. In fact, it was my birthday too and he was one of the best presents I received as he coasted to a near 4L win.
If you had told me that day that he'd race again from just 64 back on the turf, I would have snapped your hands off to take the bet, and remember, he was a big drifter that day too.
The defeat at Chelmsford somewhat clouds the issue as he finished second last time and was turned over at odds-on. However, Chelsmford can be a track where you can get taken off your feet, but I personally didn't think he stayed the 2m there.
Back down in distance to 1m5f looks ideal, and I can see the long straight at Ayr really suiting his style. His trainer David O'Meara has a 17% strike-rate at the track this term with Danny Tudhope also holding an 18% win rate and 40% placed for the yard at Ayr, so I won't give up on him just yet. Especially after 2m.
September/October singles winners:
Hurtle 2/1 Won
Good Impression 3/1 Won
Soft Whisper 2/1 Won
Enduring 9/1 Placed
Noble Dynasty 3/1 Won
Nostrum 2/1 Won
Kaif 15/8 Won
Only Money 2/1 Won
Ah La Francaise 5/2 Won
Exoplanet 5/1 Won
Courage Mon Ami 5/1 Won
City Walk 9/4 Won
Shaara 6/1 Won
Tarhib 5/4 Won
City Vaults 5/2 Won
Sea Stone 9/1 Won
Funny Story 5/2 Won
New Kingdom 8/1 Won
Prakasa 6/4 Won
Well Educated 9/4 Won
Kingori 10/11 Won
Dynamic Kate 10/11 Won
First View 9/2 Won
Mostahdaf 9/2 Won
Leopold's Rock 4/5 Won
High Velocity 9/2 Won
Back On Springs 5/4 Won