US PGA Championship 2026: Best bets for this week's major at Aronimink

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US PGA Championship tips and predictions

The Punter's Preview: Young ticks all the boxes

Steve Rawlings: With three wins in his last 15 starts, or two in his last five if you prefer, the world number three, Cam Young, is far and away the best player not to have a yet won a major championship and this looks the perfect opportunity for him to get off the mark.

The 29-year-old was matched at just 2.111/10 in-play on the Betfair Exchange to win the US Masters last month and he now has top four finishes in all four majors, including a fourth in Pennsylvania in the US Open last year and a third place finish in this Championship on debut in 2022.

Young won his first PGA Tour title at the Wyndham Championship last year, by six strokes, and he finished second on debut at Detroit Golf Club in 2022, despite sitting tied for 79^th after the opening round, so he has form at two Donald Ross layouts. In addition to having that Ross form in the book that suggests he'll take to Aronimink, Young ticks all the correct trends boxes, coming out on top in Dave Tindall's 10 year trends piece.

He'll be slightly disappointed by his final round at Quail Hollow on Sunday, which saw him slip from third to 10^th as he attempted to win back-to-back tournaments following his facile six-stroke victory in the Cadillac Championship the week before but he's a perfectly fair price here at anything over 12/113.00.

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Dave Tindall's Each-Way Tips: Henley can play a Major role again

Most years witness at least one new major winner (JJ Spaun 2025, Wyndham Clark, Brian Harman 2023, Matt Fitzpatrick, Cam Smith 2022 etc) so let's look further down the betting at some contenders capable of winning who are available at decent odds in the 10-place market. First up is Russell Henley at 35/136.00 (1/5 Odds, 10 places).

A very simplistic argument is that he's made the top 10 in five of the last seven majors. If majors are soap operas, Henley is becoming one of the regular cast members. His latest strong performance at this level came via tied third at last month's Masters where he finished just two shots back from winner McIlroy. That's quite a turnaround for a player who didn't manage a single top 10 in his first 32 majors.

Henley has been part of the world's top 10 for a while although his position there has been questioned. Perhaps that opinion is based on the old Henley. The current one is a different animal though and Aronimink could be a great fit. It calls for placement off the tee much more than past US PGAs which were set up for bombers. Henley ranks second in Driving Accuracy this season while 11th for Approaches from 150-175 yards is another plus as players will be hitting from that range much more than usual due to doglegs putting a cap on drives and often leaving that number.

We're on a Donald Ross course and Henley has a great record on the design legend's layouts. In his last seven starts on Ross tracks he has six top 10s and that includes seventh in the 2024 US Open at Pinehurst.

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Dave Tindall's First Round Leader Tips: Three bets up to 100/1101.00

Dave Tindall: Corey Conners has some strong FRL history in the US PGA and Aronimink should be a venue where he can go low again.

The Canadian was the solo leader after 18 holes in the 2021 US PGA at Kiawah Island while he sat second after day one and held the halfway lead in the 2023 edition at Oak Hill.

He's finished 26th or better in four of the last five US PGAs so the set-ups suit him.

Aronimink has sloping bentgrass greens and that's also the deal at Augusta where Conners has an excellent record (four top 10s).

That strong form at the US Masters extends to day one as he has first-round positions there of second (2025), sixth (2024) and seventh (2022).

Heading to Aronimink he's been on a good run of Thursday scores. Conners has been in the top 17 after the opening lap in five of his last seven events and eighth following the first round of last week's Truist Championship.

He tees off in the afternoon at 1:21pm and can hopefully give us a great run at a three-figure price.

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Find Me a 100 Winner: Back Bhatia at 149/1150.00

Steve Rawlings: Akshay Bhatia is a gutsy contender who's won all three of his titles in extra time and given he's no bigger than 80/1 on the High Street, he's a generous price on the Betfair Exchange at 150.0 to win his first major championship.

Bhatia's major record isn't fantastic, with his tied 16^th in the 2024 US Open at the Donald Ross designed Pinehurst his highest finish to date but given he also finished second around another Ross design, Detroit Golf Club, in the Rocket Classic two weeks later, he may just take to this week's Ross designed venue.

Bhatia's very recent form isn't spectacular given he's finished 16^th in the RBC Heritage, 23^rd in the Cadillac Championship and 37^th last week since he missed the cut in the US Masters, but he finished third at the Phoenix Open in February after three straight missed cuts and he finished third in the Players Championship last year after shooting 79 and 73 around Bay Hill. The venue at which his latest victory was achieved.

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Top 5 and Top 10 Tips: Back Bryson to shine

Dave Tindall: After back-to-back LIV wins (Singapore and South Africa) in March, April was set to be a huge month for Bryson. Instead he messed up at the US Masters and missed the cut before pulling out of LIV Golf Mexico ahead of the final round due to a wrist issue.

However, normal service seemed to be resumed at LIV Golf Virginia last week when he fired 64-66 on the weekend to finish third.

DeChambeau played in the 2018 BMW Championship at Aronimink and shot a Saturday 64 on the way to 19th. In the US PGA he's been a huge force, finishing runner-up the last two years and fourth in both 2020 and 2023.

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US PGA Championship stats, trends and players

Player Profiles: Scottie Scheffler

PGA record: (most recent result on the right) 4-8-MC-2-8-1

The World No. 1 went to last year's PGA Championship with zero experience of the host, Quail Hollow, but won anyway, saying afterwards: "I didn't have my best stuff, but I kept myself in it, and I stepped up on the back nine. That's about it." It was classic, downbeat, but ultimately triumphant, Scottie Scheffler. His current form is a curiosity with just one win this year (in his first start), but he has finished second in each of his last three outings, including the Masters. He also really likes weekend golf, going sub-70 in both rounds three and four in 13 of his last 15 starts.

Angle? Even by his own standards, he is very good in the PGA Championship with five top 10 finishes from six starts (in the other majors, he is "only" 12-for-20).

First round record? He's 4-for-6 at breaking 70 in a PGA first round and has twice been one shot off the lead.

Back Scheffler on the Sportsbook
Back Scheffler on the Exchange

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US PGA Championship 10-year trends

Dave Tindall: Last week's Cadillac Championship winner Cameron Young edges out Scheffler although the margin could get wider.

Scheffler has already got his points for a top five finish last time out but it remains to be seen where Young finishes in the Truist. If he does make the top five, his points tally would increase to 72.

Sam Burns is an interesting one. If he comes out on top at the Truist he'd get three extra points for posting a victory this season and six more for that win also representing a top five finish.

That would take Burns level with Young on 66 although his fellow American would still nudge ahead as he's guaranteed a minimum of two points wherever he finishes at the Truist (see above scoring system).

In short, Cam Young is your trends pick. He's currently 17.0 to back on the Exchange and 14/1 on the Betfair Sportsbook (six places paid now although there will be more available in tournament week).

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US PGA Championship 2026: Form stats

Majors Form:

There were times at Augusta when Justin Rose looked like he would deny McIlroy a second Masters title before eventually finishing tied for third. He was second there last year and followed up by missing the cut in this event. But perhaps Rose can do better at Aronimink where he finished second to Keegan Bradley in the BMW Championship 2018 and won a tournament at the event in 2010.

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US PGA Championship 2026: Three early picks

Back in January, Dave Tindall had an early look at the US PGA Championship bettin. Here's a snippet...

Dave Tindall: With two previous wins in May, this tournament comes at a good time of year for Sam Burns and the previous high SG: Putting rankings of former Aronimink champions gets Burns' name flashing too.

In 2025, he ranked first for SGP on the PGA Tour and the putter is clearly one of his biggest weapons.

Location-wise, Oakmont is also in Pennsylvania so holding the 54-hole lead in a major there is encouraging ahead of his return to the state. As is lying sixth with a round to play in last May's Truist Championship, another event in Pennsylvania.

He slumped on Sunday there too but Burns is a five-time PGA Tour winner so does know how to get it done.

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Read The Punter's US PGA Championship live blog for the latest this weekend

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