Golf Bets

Golf Tips: Our experts' best bets for Canadian Open and European Open

Golfer Haotong Li
Is Haotong Li set to be a winner again

Our golf experts Steve Rawlings, Dave Tindall, Matt Cooper and Andy Swales arm you with previews, tips and stats ahead of this week's Canadian Open on the PGA Tour and European Open on the DP World Tour...

  • Tom Kim a popular selection in Canada

  • Likewie Haotong Li gets a few votes in Europe

  • Tips, previews and form stats for both events


RBC Canadian Open Tips & Predictions

The Punter's Preview: Can baby Bear inspire Burns

Steve Rawlings: "For now my sole selection is Sam Burns.

"The two-time Valspar Championship winner could be a really good fit for Hamilton, and I thought he was worth chancing at 34.033/1.

"The host course for the Valspar, Copperhead, is tree-lined with plenty of elevation changes so may correlate with this venue (Jim Furyk has won at both courses) and he also has a decent record at Sedgefield Country Club which is another track that may correlate.

"It's now a month since Burns' first child was born - a boy called Bear - so he has the added incentive of being a first-time father and although he missed the cut last time out at the US PGA, he finished 13th at the Wells Fargo Championship before that so his game can't be too far off.

"The world number 27th has already won five times on the PGA Tour and it's interesting to see that he's chosen to play here when he didn't line up last week at Colonial.

"It's a little over a year since he won the last edition of the WGC Match Play and it's almost two years to the day since he came from off the pace to beat his good friend Scottie Scheffler in a playoff at Colonial."


Each-Way Tips: Three picks from 20/1 to 70/1

Dave Tindall: "It's hard to fathom how Tom Kim hasn't managed a single top 10 this season.

"A kinder appraisal of his form is that he's made 12 of 14 cuts and four of his six top 30s have come in his last six events.

"In May, he's improved his finish each week: 52nd CJ Cup Byron Nelson, 47th Wells Fargo, 26th PGA Championship, 24th Byron Nelson.

"Even that doesn't tell the full story as he was 19th with a lap to go at Valhalla and 11th heading into the final round at Colonial last week.

"In summary, he's close.

"A reminder that two seasons ago Kim became the first player since Tiger Woods in 1996 to win twice on the PGA Tour before the age of 21.

"He's since taken his tally to three by defending his Shriners title in Las Vegas back in October.

Also joint-runner-up in last year's Open Championship at Hoylake, Kim is probably only a top two or top three away from going off at nearer 20s in a field like this.

"So before such a price crash occurs, let's get him on board.

"A trip to Canada to play a gettable short course could very well be the start of a big, big summer for the Korean phenom."


Find Me a 100 Winner Tips: Fox fancied at 129/1

Steve Rawlings: "As a general rule of thumb, it takes European DP World Tour players plenty of time to adjust to life on the PGA Tour but Kiwi, Ryan Fox, appears to have adapted quickly.

"The 37-year-old has been used to live on the road away from home so we perhaps shouldn't be too surprised to see him performing at a reasonable level.

"After finishing forth alongside Garrick Higgo at the Zurich Classic, Fox finished fourth at the Myrtle Beach Classic and he sat seventh at the halfway stage of last week's Charles Schwab Challenge before rounds of 71 and 74 over the weekend saw him slip to a tie for 32nd.

"He's playing quite nicely, and we really shouldn't be surprised given he's an accomplished player that's won some big DP World Tour titles in the last couple of years.

"Fox won the Alfred Dunhill Links at the end of 2022 and he came from slightly off the pace to win the Tour's flagship event - the BMW PGA Championship - eight months ago.

"Rory McIlroy beat Shane Lowry on the last occasion the Canadian Open was staged at the Harry Colt designed Hamilton Country Club in 2019 and like Fox, they've both been successful at Wentworth - also designed by Colt.

"Hamilton has undergone an extensive renovation since the 2019 edition but the ethos behind the restoration was to restore it with Colt's original design in mind so it really should fit Fox's eye."

Place order to lay 8 Us @ 10.09/1 & 12 Us @ 2.01/1


Cours and Current Form Stats

Andy Swales: "This week's tournament offers the perfect opportunity for Alex Noren 20/121.00 to secure a long-overdue triumph on the PGA Tour.

"The 41-year-old from Stockholm has finished inside the top-25 in each of his last eight PGA Tour starts.

"He stood on the podium at the recent CJ Cup in Dallas and is a 10-time winner on the DP World Tour.

"Noren, who is certainly good enough to hold aloft the trophy on Sunday, is also an ideal e/w option in Canada.


DPWT European Open Tips & Predictions

The Punter's Preview: Stats suggest Spaniard can go in again

Steve Rawlings: "Having been wet in the lead up, on paper, Green Eagle is going to play long but we've thought that before here and they've fiddled with the yardages.

"Given the stats at previous renewals, I'd rather favour tee-to-green excellence over length and the recent China Open winner, Adrian Otaegui, ticks that box emphatically.

"Although his five DP World Tour wins have been spread out over an eight-year period, and he's never won more than once in the same calendar year, I thought Otaegui was well worth chancing at a big price.

"He has a very similar skillset to Mansell, so it doesn't make a lot of sense for the Spaniard to be trading at twice the Englishman's price when he's looking to win for a sixth time and Mansell is yet to win.

"Matt Cooper makes a very interesting observation about the link between this event in his each-way column and form in China so that's another plus and the Spaniard was fifth here on debut back in 2017.

"His 18th place two years ago is his best finish subsequently but his Driving Accuracy, Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and Greens In Regulation numbers have been excellent of late and I can see him contending again at what is a very juicy price."


Each-Way Tips: Chinese connection leads to 50/1 Li

Matt Cooper: "If we're looking to China why not keep it simple and go for Haotong Li?

"He's a five-time winner in his home country and the most recent was the 2016 China Open, a co-sanctioned event on the DP World Tour.

"Rather more straightforwardly, he finished T18th at Green Eagle in 2022 when he set the pace with a Thursday 67 and was still only two back of the lead with 18 holes to play.

"In his very next start he won, also in Germany, at the BMW International Open in Munich.

"Two of his four most recent starts on home soil have been second places and he was also one shot back of the lead in the China Open at the start of the month after a first round 64.

"He finished the week T35th but it was far from the first time that he has been threatening to have a good week in recent times.

"He was the first round co-leader in January's Dubai Desert Classic and the solo 18-hole leader in March's International Series Macau.

"He was also second at halfway in April's Saudi Open and third after 54 holes in the same month's ISPS Handa Championship.

"He's simmering and Green Eagle might be where he comes to the boil."


First Round Leader Tips: Picks from 66/1 to 80/1

Dave Tindall: "Julien Guerrier is another who gives it a good thump off the tee, ranking 39th for DD this season.

"He's ranked 2nd and 11th for Driving Distance in two of his four starts at Green Eagle and in the last two he's really put everything together, finishing 10th in 2022 and runner-up 12 months ago.

"Guerrier was 4th and 14th respectively after the opening lap of those two events so he's scored well from the off.

"Looking at some further FRL history, the 38-year-old was first-round leader in last November's DP World Championship.

"Like this week, that was played on a course measuring over 7,600 yards.

"More recently, he's ended round one in the top 20 at three of his last four tournaments with laps of 68, 67 and 65. The latter put him fourth after 18 holes of the China Open earlier this month.

"Guerrier goes out at 12.10."


Cours and Current Form Stats

Andy Swales: "Among those whose current form is reasonably solid, are Yuto Katsuragawa 50/151.00, Guido Migliozzi 40/141.00 and Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen 33/134.00.

"Katsuragawa, winner of this year's DP World Tour event staged in his home country of Japan, has remained in good form since that victory last month.

"The 25-year-old has journeyed to Europe to continue his schedule, having last played in this part of the world when competing in The Open Championship 22 months ago.

"Migliozzi, meanwhile, followed up his runner-up slot at the Volvo China Open earlier this month by finishing tied-24th in Antwerp over the weekend.

"The 27-year-old Italian, and three-time winner on the DP World Tour, finished seventh at Green Eagle in 2019.

"As for Neergaard-Petersen, the Dane has been in excellent form on the Challenge Tour this year, posting a brace of victories and one runner-up finish.

"He currently leads the Road to Mallorca standings and this week's field in Germany is not a great deal tougher than the ones he faces regularly on the Challenge Tour."


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