Get the best bets from Steve Rawlings, Dave Tindall and the rest of our golf betting experts for this week's Rocket Mortgage Classic and Irish Open...
Steve Rawlings: "I was happy to take a small chance on world number 10 Rory McIlroy at 6.86/1 - he's the only player in the field inside the top-30 in the world rankings."
The PGA Tour moves on to Michigan this week for the third edition of the Rocket Mortgage Classic in Detroit. Read Steve's preview ahead of Thursday's start, get the lowdown on the course, form and what it will take to win...
Steve says: "Form at Donald Ross courses often transfers well so check out results at East Lake, home of the Tour Championship, Sedgefield Country Club, which hosts the Wyndham Championship, and Aronimink, which staged the BMW Championship in 2018, won by Keegan Bradley, as well as the National way back in 2010 and 2011.
"It's old form now but the results of The Northern Trust at Plainfield in both 2011 and 2015 and the 2013 USPGA Championship from Oak Hill Country Club may be worth looking at too, just to get a feel for the type of players that thrive at Ross venues, and Pinehurst Country Club, another Ross-designed course, staged the US Open in 1999, 2005 and again in 2014.
"For now my sole selection is the promising Doc Redman. In addition to finishing second here in 2019, he led last year's renewal after the opening round so he clearly loves the track.
"He finished runner-up in his penultimate start, at the Palmetto Championship, and I thought he was worth chancing, despite a disappointing weekend at the Travelers Championship last week, when he fell from 20th and just four off the lead at halfway to finish tied for 61st.
"At 23, Redman is still finding his feet on the PGA Tour so the odd bad round is going to happen when he's in-contention but at a venue that looks perfect, I thought he was a fair price at 80.079/1."
Steve's bet: Back Doc Redman @ 80.079/1
After his 35/1 selection Harris English won the Travelers Championship, Dave Tindall is back with three tips for the action at Detroit Golf Club. Here's one of them...
Dave says: "One player who fits the bill quite nicely is Joaquin Niemann. The Chilean is 16th in Birdie Average this season and finished tied fifth in this event on his only start in 2019.
"He shot rounds of 68-66-69-68 that week, ranking 10th in Approach and scoring well in all categories. Last year's 1-2, DeChambeau and Wolff, certainly help the angle that big hitting and holing lots of putts is a great recipe for Detroit Golf Club and Niemann ticks those boxes: he's ninth in Driving Distance and 32nd in SG: Putting.
"His current form is consistent rather than flashy but bookend 68s and a Friday 67 at last week's Travelers hint at better things. He's got a decent record at Sedgefield and his one victory on the PGA Tour - the 2019 Military Tribute at The Greenbrier - was achieved in 21-under.
"Earlier in the season he had back-to-back second places at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and Sony Open with 25-under and 20-under respectively so, scoring-wise, this event is most certainly in his wheelhouse."
Dave's bet: Back Joaquin Niemann E/W @ 29.028/1
Next Dave makes three each-way picks to be First Round Leader at Mount Juliet, making the case for a certain Frenchman.
Dave says: "Mike Lorenzo-Vera's bid to win a European Tour title for the first time has been a continuing drama but he's not felt the same tension in first rounds.
"In fact, the Frenchman has banked a piece of the first-round lead on four occasions at this level while he managed it five times on the Challenge Tour.
"He's had some low opening rounds in this event too. MLV has teed it up in six previous Irish Opens and twice he's ended day one in third place. The latest came last year when he opened with a 65 at Lahinch. His current form, driven by some fine approach play, has gone up a notch in the last month and, if the putter comes to the table too, low rounds await.
"Lorenzo-Vera showed that with middle 66s in the Canary Islands Championship and a closing 64 in the British Masters. Take the 08:40 starter at 100/1."
Dave's bet: Back Mike Lorenzo-Vera E/W @ 101.0100/1
Steve continues his quest to land a winner at enormous odds with bets at both of this week's events...
Steve says: "He missed the cut at the Travelers Championship last week in his first start since that painful Palmetto conclusion but after an understandably slow start, which saw him shoot 74 on Thursday, and +2 on the front nine on Friday, he shot a five-under-par, bogey-free 30 on the back-nine to suggest that whatever he found at the Palmetto is still present.
"Hadley has long spells of poor play but he's put together some nice runs of form throughout his career whenever somethings clicked and he was second in the aforementioned SFC at Country Club of Jackson when in the middle of a hot spell back in 2017.
"Harris English (pictured above), who also traded at odds-on at the Palmetto, bounced back to win the Travelers on Sunday and Chesson is perfectly capable of emulating him.
"He looks a juicy price with the Sportsbook with eight places up for grabs at 200/1 and I've also chanced him on the Exchange."
Steve's bet: Back 1u Chesson Hadley @ 280.0279/1 Place order to lay 10u @ 10.09/1 & 10u @ 2.35/4 1u each-way @ 200/1 Sportsbook
The North Course at Detroit Golf Club is one of the flattest in pro golf says Andy Swales in his guide to the form stats ahead of this week's PGA Tour event in Michigan...
Andy says: "A traditional parkland venue with tree-lined fairways, the North Course has putting surfaces that are smaller than the Tour average. They are also reasonably undulating.
"Water is an issue on just one hole - the 14th - while the course is one of the flattest in professional golf. In each of the two previous instalments, scoring has been low, with golfers needing to reach five under par just to survive the 36-hole cut.
"Bryson DeChambeau returns to defend the title, and is one of only four top-20 ranked golfers in the field. The others are Patrick Reed, Webb Simpson and Masters champion Hideki Matsuyama.
"In each of the past two Rocket Mortgage events, the putting stats have proved to be highly significant. And with this in mind, Patrick Reed must surely fancy his chances. The 30-year-old from Texas is inside the top-10 for six putting categories on this season's PGA Tour."
Open Championship winners Rory McIlroy and Shane Lowry are the marquee names on the European Tour this week as we take in the Irish Open and Steve Rawlings is here with the in-depth preview.
Steve says: "Rory McIlroy's Irish Open record is generally poor. He won the event in 2016 at the K Club but he missed the cut when defending at Portstewart and that was the fifth time he's failed to make the weekend. His victory five years ago is his only top-five in a dozen attempts and he's been mildly criticized for not playing in either of the last two renewals.
"After a lean spell, Rory is definitely going in the right direction and in his last four starts he's won the Wells Fargo Championship and finished seventh in the US Open, where he traded at a low of 3.259/4 when he hit the front towards the end of the back nine on Sunday. He finished the US Open poorly and 49th at the USPGA Championship and 18th in The Memorial Tournament following his win in the Wells weren't great efforts but he's going in the right direction and he's putting nicely.
"I was happy to take a small chance on world number 10, McIlroy, at 6.86/1, who's the only player in the field inside the top-30 in the world rankings.
"His poor Irish Open record is definitely the biggest negative but should it be something to worry about deeply? He's only played in the event twice since he won it and there's no logical reason why he can't double up.
"High-class winners have won at the venue, past winners have a great record in the event and in what isn't the strongest of tournaments, he's a fair price.
"Only last week, we witnessed a top quality player dropping down from the PGA Tour to win in Europe (Viktor Hovland - BMW International Open) and after the front three or four in the market, this event lacks depth.
Steve's bet: Back Rory McIlroy @ 6.86/1
Matt Cooper has three each-way selections for the Irish Open with the Betfair Sportsbook paying eight places...
Matt says: "There's a bit of me which frets that my liking for Englishman Andy Sullivan this week is a bit too bleeding obvious - in the sense that he won't win because everything is just too neat.
"Let's start with his tournament form: tied second at Lahinch two years ago, tied sixth at Royal County Down in 2015, and tied sixth again at Ballyliffin in 2018.
"Then there's his current form: tied sixth last month at the Belfry and tied fifth last week in Munich. In-between he got off to a sluggish start at HimmerLand (T103rd after 18 holes) before shooting 66-70-69 for T40th.
"I'm also very keen on his recent form playing on Nicklaus designs, which this week's venue Mount Juliet (above) is, because he not only won last summer's English Championship at Hanbury Manor (by a massive seven blows), he also did so by gained 11.592 strokes on the field with his approach play.
"That's a part of the game which Nicklaus layouts always seek to test and, when Sullivan hits his straps, it is the part of his game that shines - he's also heading in the right direction with it in recent weeks, recording his best numbers of the season."
Matt's bet: Back Andy Sullivan each-way @ 34.033/1
Andy discusses the course and form stats as the European Tour tees-up at Mount Juliet for the first time in 17 years...
Andy says: "Rory McIlroy is the only member of the world's top 30 taking part, as the countdown towards The Open Championship effectively starts here.
"Another Irish major champion, Padraig Harrington, is one of only four players teeing-up this week, to have competed in either or both of the AmEx tournaments from almost two decades ago. The others are Darren Fichardt, David Howell and Graeme McDowell.
"And when Tiger Woods took part in 2004, he said the greens at Mount Juliet were among the best he had putted on that season.
"One returning Brit whose form has slipped over the past few months is world No 33 Tommy Fleetwood. However, he is still the second highest-ranked golfer in the field and his general form is not so bad that he couldn't step up this weekend. Arriving back in the British Isles might just be what the 30-year-old from Southport needs to rekindle some inspiration and confidence ahead of The Open."
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