Golf Tips: Best bets for 3M Open and Cazoo Open

  • Max Liu
  • 3:00 min read
Michael Thompson wins the 3M Open in 2020
Find out who our experts are backing to emulate 2020's 3M Open winner Michael Thompson

The Open Championship is done and dusted for another year but the PGA and European Tours continue at the 3M Open and Cazoo Open respectively this week. Get the best bets for both...

"Poston is bound to be disappointed to have been beaten but I really can't see how he can be more than twice the price he was last week given how well he played."

3M Open: Kizzire can kick on and win again

The PGA Tour takes in the 3M Open from Minnesota this week and Steve Rawlings is back with his comprehensive preview.

Steve says: "For now my only selections are Bubba Watson and Patton Kizzire.

"Bubba was forced to miss the Open Championship after having direct exposure to COVID - 19 but that may turn out to be a plus.

"He shot rounds of 67-74 when missing the cut last year on debut so he has shot at least one solid round here and his current form figures, reading 50-19-6 are better than they look.

"He was in contention at halfway at the US Open before he finished 50th, he was matched at just 1.528/15 in-running before a late collapse at the Travelers Championship and he rallied brilliantly last time out at the aforementioned Rocket Mortgage Classic to finish sixth, having sat tied for 63rd at halfway.

"That slow start was perfectly understandable after his collapse at the Travelers and he may just be able to string four rounds together this week.

"Kizzire is an incredibly inconsistent performer, as his 25th place finish at the Rocket Mortgage Classic in his penultimate start demonstrated perfectly. On that occasion he shot rounds of 68, 72, 73 and 64 but given he followed that effort up with an 11th in the John Deere Classic and that he'll be well-rested after a week off, I was more than happy to take 80.079/1.

"He hasn't set the world alight in either of the first two editions of the event, finishing 34th and 46th but there's no reason to think the place doesn't suit him and I thought he was fractionally over-priced again for a two-time PGA Tour winner that's been showing some form."

Steve's bet: Back Bubba Watson @ 40.039/1 Patton Kizzire @ 80.079/1

3M Open Each-Way Tips: Go with Ghim for the win

David Tindall was in the money again last week thanks to Scottie Scheffler's Open top 10. Now our man has three tips for this week at TPC Twin Cities.

Dave says: "Ghim has progressive form figures of 54-32-18 coming in to the 3M Open so he's trending in the right direction as the catchphrase goes.

"The 25-year-old, who finished runner-up in the 2017 US Amateur, made his debut last year and got better each day, shooting 70-68-67-66 to post tied 18th.

"When narrowing the shortlist, I also stumbled on this tweet from Justin Ray: "TPC Twin Cities had the second-most approach shots hit by the field from 175-200 yards of any course on Tour in 2019 + 2020. Only PGA National had more in that span.

Doug Ghim 1280.jpg

"Top of the 175-200 yards stats this season? Yep, Doug Ghim. One place in front of Morikawa.

"Talking of which, for those who like the idea of inspiration, Ghim and Morikawa are great friends. Both live in Las Vegas and they played on the 2017 US Walker Cup team together."

Dave's bet: Doug Ghim each-way @ 46.045/1

3M Open First-Round Leader Tips: Make it Mito in Minnesota

Dave considers which players might have the game to make a strong start on Thursday as he provides three each-way picks to be First Round Leader at TPC Twin Cities.

Dave says: "Chilean golf has another hot youngster in Mito Pereira.

"The 26-year-old has made waves in the last couple of months after gaining automatic promotion to the PGA Tour after three wins on the Korn Ferry. The first arrived in February of last year while the latest two came in back-to-back wins in June.

"He started those three tournaments with rounds of 65 (Country Club de Bogota Championship), 62 (Rex Hospital Open) and 65 (BMW Charity Pro-Am) so he's definitely a player who can fly from the blocks.

"Since gaining battlefield promotion he's got better each week, starting with MC at the Rocket Mortgage, 34th in the John Deere and 5th at last week's Barbasol Championship where he fired 67-70-65-67.

"Clearly on a roll, I'm hoping he can turn up in Minnesota and produce more of the same from his 08:51 tee time."

Dave's bet: Back Mito Pereira E/W @ 91.090/1

Find Me a 100 Winner: Poston value for immediate redemption

Steve Rawlings recommends three players to back at long odds including one who's looking to bounce back from disappointment last weekend.

Steve says: "Having led after rounds one, two and three, J.T Poston looked home and hosed at the Barbasol Championship on Sunday when he led by four on the back-nine.

"He was matched at a low of 1.021/50 before a double-bogey seven at the easiest hole on the course (15th) and a three-putt bogey at 16 saw him caught by Seamus Power (who birdied two of the last three) and he was beaten in a playoff at the sixth extra hole.

"He's bound to be disappointed to have been beaten in that manner but I really can't see how he can be more than twice the price he was last week given how well he played.

"He was a selection of mine at 60.059/1 in the Barbasol and I was more than happy to take 130.0129/1 here, in a a similar type of test."

Steve's bet: Back 1 ½ u J.T Poston @ 130.0129/1 Place order to lay 10u @ 10.09/1 & 10u @ 2.01/1

3M Open: Your form guide for this week's event in Minnesota

As the PGA Tour moves to the most northerly US venue on this season's schedule, Andy Swales discusses the course and form.

Andy says: "A number of leading pros have made an immediate return from Kent to tee-up in Minneapolis, including world No 2 Dustin Johnson.

"Johnson's tie-for-eighth in England was his highest finish since February and, after opting out of next week's Olympic golf tournament in Japan, has decided to chase FedEx Cup points instead.

"Four of the world's top 20 are among the entries, although the winner may emerge from lower down the list, depending on how badly some players are affected by jet-lag.

"One member of this quartet is world No 19 Tony Finau who may be able to find some inspiration from his tie-for-third at Twin Cities last year.

"Perhaps one player who will benefit from resting-up last week is Bubba Watson who was denied the chance to compete in Kent because of Covid.

"The 42-year-old was due to fly to England but discovered he'd been in contact with someone who had tested positive and, despite being vaccinated, had to withdraw.

"Watson should be motivated to put that frustration to good use this week, after finishing tied-sixth on his most recent outing in Detroit."

Andy's bet: Back Bubba Watson @ 40.039/1

Cazoo Open: Hot Harding a fair price at Celtic Manor

The European Tour pops over the Severn Bridge this week for the Cazoo Open at Celtic Manor. Steve Rawlings previews the tournament.

Steve says: "Look out for the weather on Friday when we could see quite a bit of change on the leaderboard. It looked at the start of the week that there was the potential for a considerable draw bias, favouring those starting late on Thursday and early on Friday but the forecast has changed since.

"On Monday it suggested that the early starters would enjoy much calmer and drier conditions but it now looks likely that the wind will blow consistently throughout the day and it may even favour those that start late on Friday as they'll have a chance to see how the course is playing and to realise what's a good score in the conditions.

"Other than Friday, we look set for a fairly benign week with a bit of rain on Saturday so the winner could well be in the van at halfway given how well favoured the frontrunners often are at Celtic Manor."

CELTIC MANOR 20Ten Course 5.jpg

"Justin Harding arrives in Wales after a fair performance in the Open Championship last week where he eventually finished 19th after shooting 72 in round four. He'd opened-up with back-to-back 67s and he only dropped out of the top-ten on Sunday and that effort came on the back of some decent enough performances.

"Harding, who won in Kenya in March, finished fifth in the BMW International Open three starts ago and he should have finished better than 23rd in the Irish Open the following week. He sat third and just three off the lead with a round to go and his missed cut in the Scottish Open a week later could well have been a reaction to the 75 on Sunday in Ireland.

"He'll be pleased enough with last week's top-20 finish and he's playing better than those around him towards the head of the market. He's no bigger than 16/1 on the High Street and I though 25.024/1 was more than fair."

Steve's bet: Back Justin Harding @ 25.024/1

Cazoo Open Each-Way Tips: Third time lucky for Syme

Matt Cooper has three each-way selections with the Betfair Sportsbook paying seven places for this week's tournament at Celtic Manor.

Matt says: "Syme gets to return to Newport, scene of very close shaves: he led by one after three rounds of the Celtic Classic, and led or shared the lead through the first 54 holes of the Wales Open.

"He's got a superb opportunity to show how what he's learned.

"He was third in the Kenya Open in March and his best golf since then has come on courses which, like this week, had more par-3s than normal: tied fifth (shooting 61-62 in the middle rounds) at Meloneras, T12th (third at halfway) at Adeje, and T18th after a slow start at Green Eagle.

"He took a step backward at Eichenried, but has since gone T41st-T35th, finding plenty of greens in regulation last time out.

"A winner on the Challenge Tour, he can make it third time lucky this week on the main circuit."

Matt's bet: Connor Syme 1pt each-way @ 31.030/1

Cazoo Wales Open 2021: Form stats for Celtic Manor

Andy Swales provides the key stats and course info for tournament number four on the 'British Isles Swing'...

Andy says: "Although there are a number of players with strong course histories at Celtic Manor, many of these performances date back almost a decade.

"With regards to last year's double header, the only golfers teeing-up who registered T20s in both of these events are Connor Syme, Callum Shinkwin and Sebastian Heisele.

"Syme actually posted back-to-back top-10s, while Sam Horsfield - who won the first of these two Celtic Manor tournaments - is also among the entries this week.

"One pro who will eye-up this week as providing the perfect opportunity for returning to the winner's circle, is world No 58 Matt Wallace.

"The 31-year-old from Hillingdon, north London, is a former world No 23 but has lost his way a little in recent months. However, his game certainly hasn't disintegrated and probably requires just a minor tweak, plus a touch of inspiration, to make it fire on all cylinders once again."

Andy's bet: Back Matt Wallace @ 13.012/1

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