Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship Each-Way Tips: Perez the pick

American Pat Perez
Pat Perez can take victory

After landing each-way profits with third-placed Louis Oosthuizen at 80/1 in the US Open, Dave Tindall has three each-way selections for this week's PGA Tour event in the Dominican Republic...

"In terms of the grass - Paspalum - we also see it on the PGA Tour at the Mayakoba Classic and Puerto Rico Open. Perez is a specialist in the former at El Camaleon and owns a win (2016), sixth and eighth the last two years and three other top 20s."

Back Pat Perez each-way @ 35/1

Main Bet: Pat Perez each-way @ 35/1

For the second week running, I'm going to put up a 35/1 headline pick called Pat.

It was all going so well for Patrick Reed in last week's US Open when he led at halfway and hopefully some of you spotted the warning signs and traded out at around 9/2.

The problem for Reed was not hitting fairways but that shouldn't be a problem for Pat Perez at Corales Golf Club this week.

The fairways are generous and, what's more, Perez is better at finding them that Reed.

It's a first look at the course for Perez which seems an initial stumbling block.

However, the 44-year-old American has plenty of strong form in events which correlate well.

In terms of the grass - Paspalum - we also see it on the PGA Tour at the Mayakoba Classic and Puerto Rico Open.

Perez is a specialist in the former at El Camaleon and owns a win (2016), sixth and eighth the last two years and three other top 20s.

A big reason is how he's performed on and around the greens as that's a big factor when looking at past winners here.

Perez took fewest putts at the Mayakoba in 2018 and ranked third for Putting Average when winning. He's ranked in the top 10 for Scrambling in three of his last four visits there.

Numbers tell the story but so does Perez himself.

As well as winning on Paspalum in Mexico, he also triumphed on the same grass at the CIMB Classic in 2017.

"It's actually not even the course that suits my eye, it's the greens. Mayakoba, where I won, has the same greens and I putted better than anybody there, too.

"So I don't know what it is. It's the grass. I don't really see a lot of shots. I didn't even hit that many good shots. I putted unbelievable really. I didn't hit it that great, I just made a whole lot of putts and that saved me because if I didn't putt well I probably would have finished 40th."

The interviewer then informed him that the greens were being changed, Perez answering with a solemn, "I know".

Still, there is more Paspalum in them there hills and Perez has found some here.

As it happens, his putter looks hot anyway. He ranked 2nd for Strokes Gained: Putting last time out and that helped him take a morale-boosting tied ninth in his season-opener at the Safeway Open.

He showed some good form towards the end of the previous campaign and, generally, this is a good time of year for him.

Therefore, it may help that the tournament has been rescheduled to September after previously being played in March.

Next Best: Thomas Detry each-way @ 25/1

The front of the market is interesting as it has a player many may not have heard of until last week at the head of the betting.

Will Zalatoris showed his huge potential with a tied sixth in the US Open and his form on the Korn Ferry has been superb with a string of top sixes including a second place the week before Winged Foot.

He's not for me at this week (11/1) but I'll be keeping a close eye.

Instead, I'll put up a candidate who, in terms of form, isn't far behind.

Thomas Detry had a tough final round at Winged Foot but opening laps of 71-72-73 were doughty efforts and put him T27 after 54 holes.

In August, the Belgian had racked up a pair of second places on the European Tour at the Hero Open and the Celtic Classic.

Overall then, his game is in really strong shape.

It's obvious to point out that he hasn't won on the European Tour yet so can he really win on the PGA?

But this is an each-way preview so I'm happy the land the place cash and he could just have something up his sleeve.

The big 'X' Factor here is that Detry knows the course far better than many will think.

And that's not just because he opened 72-66 here last year to sit T11 at halfway before finishing T33.

Detry was interviewed on the Wednesday of that event which seems surprising given that there were more famous names in the field. But here's why:

Question: People in the betting community might have some eyes on you, too, because you told me off camera that you've played a lot of this golf course. You played nine holes today, but you've played a lot here in the past coming here on vacation from Belgium?

Thomas Detry: Yeah, it's great. I came over here actually after the World Cup, I came over here on holiday. A lot of Belgians have houses around here, and my uncle as well. So we came here, had a lot of fun by the beach, playing golf in the afternoon before the sunset. Yeah, I played this golf course pretty much every day.

Detry, let's not forget, spent plenty of time in the US when getting a degree at the University of Illinois and that obviously meant he spent a lot of time playing in the wind.

He'll be comfortable in the surroundings and if he hits recent levels the 27-year-old could be in for a breakthrough week.

Final Bet: Aaron Baddeley each-way @ 150/1

If keeping a tight search group and looking at just the trio of PGA Tour events played on Paspalum outside of the American mainland, one name that pops up several times is Aaron Baddeley.

On his debut here last year he fired 68-67-68-71 to finish tied seventh.

In two starts at Coco Beach in Puerto Rico he was T8 in 2016 and runner-up last year.

And at El Camaleon in Mexico, he was the first-round leader in 2015, has made his last four cuts and shot a pair of 67s when T27 last year.

Looking at some of the putting stats, he was ranked 1st for Putting Average in Puerto Rico in 2016, 1st for Putts Per Round at El Camaleon in 2015 and, most notably, took fewest putts at this week's course last year.

His current form explains the price of 150/1 and he was very slow to get going after the restart.

But Baddeley did manage T23 at the 3M Open with bookend rounds of 66-64 and shot a second-round 68 at the Safeway Open last time despite missing the cut.

His weakness of the tee won't be punished here and hopefully a bit of sea air and the Paspalum greens will trigger a return to form.

Also at 150/1 is course specialist Kelly Kraft.

He has a third and a fifth the last two years but sat out the entire 2019/20 campaign to recover from hip surgery.

A missed cut on his return at the Safeway Open was no surprise and it may take a while yet before his sharpness returns.

Dave's 2020/2021 P/L

Staked: £60
Returned: £85
P/L: +£25

2019/2020 P/L: +£13.83
2018/2019 P/L: -£338.25
2017/2018 P/L: +£362.84
2016/2017 P/L: +£1179.89

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