Nations League
Thursday 3 September
Sides drew twice in last Nations League
Latvia 1.528/15 v Andorra 9.617/2; The Draw 3.953/1
Kick off 17:00
Live on Sky Sports Football
It's a surprise to see Latvia so short in this Group D1 match. They may have pulled off a shock win against Austria in their last game, but it was their first victory after a 17-match run without a win (D5 L12).
Two of those draws came against Andorra in the last Nations League. At these prices it's worth backing another draw at 3.953/1.
Fair price for Faroes
Faroe Islands 1.728/11 v Malta 6.411/2; The Draw 3.412/5
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button
In the other match in Group D1, Faroe Islands take on Malta. These countries are very familiar with each other, having been paired in Euro 2020 qualifying and the last Nations League.
Faroe Islands have won their last two home games against Malta and should beat them again at 1.728/11.
Spain always score
Germany 2.6213/8 v Spain 2.962/1; The Draw 3.55/2
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Premier League
This will be Spain's first match since Luis Enrique returned as their manager. That adds to the unpredictability in a match between two teams that are both in good form.
Some value can be found in the likelihood of Spain scoring. They've found the net in each of their last 40 matches, last drawing a blank against Italy in Euro 2016. Both teams to score is 1.738/11.
Dzyuba can continue scoring streak
Russia 2.6213/8 v Serbia 3.185/40; The Draw 3.39/4
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button
This is another match that is difficult to predict, with Russia and Serbia likely to be competing for promotion in Group B3.
Perhaps more predictable than the result is the chances of Russia's Artem Dzyuba to score. Dzuba scored nine goals in ten internationals in 2019 and is 2.89/5 to find the net.
Put money on Turkish delight
Turkey 1.664/6 v Hungary 6.411/2; The Draw 3.929/10
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button
Also in Group B3 are Turkey and Hungary. Turkey are a relatively short price, but it still looks to be value, given their form.
The Turks have only lost one of their last 13 matches (W9 D3), while Hungary have lost five of their last six (W1). Back Turkey to win half-time/full-time at 2.588/5.
Ukraine have become major force
Ukraine 2.6213/8 v Switzerland 3.211/5; The Draw 3.39/4
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button
Ukraine have become a consistent force in international football, losing only one of their last 21 matches (W13 D7).
Since the World Cup, Switzerland have not been great away from home (P7 W3 D1 L3). Ukraine look value to inflict another defeat at 2.6213/8.
Moldova can score against Kosovo
Moldova 9.08/1 v Kosovo 1.4840/85; The Draw 4.03/1
Kick off 20:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button
Both of these teams won promotion to League C during the last Nations League, but while Moldova scraped through, Kosovo did it in style.
The key to finding some value for Kosovo is by banking on Moldova to score. Since changing manager in October, Moldova have found the net in defeat against France and Iceland. A Kosovo win and both teams to score is 4.03/1.
Greece improving under new coach
Slovenia 2.588/5 v Greece 3.185/40; The Draw 3.39/4
Kick off 20:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button
Greece have won their last three games under new manager John van 't Schip. That record suggests they can be competitive against Slovenia.
It would be foolish to back against Slovenia, who enjoyed some good home wins in Euro 2020 qualifying. Instead, back both teams to score at 2.111/10.
Recommended bets
Back Latvia and Andorra to draw at 3.953/1
Back Faroe Islands to beat Malta at 1.728/11
Back both Germany and Spain to score at 1.738/11
Back Dzuyba to score for Russia against Serbia at 2.89/5
Back Turkey to beat Hungary HT/FT at 2.588/5
Back Ukraine to beat Switzerland at 2.6213/8
Back Kosovo to beat Moldova and both teams to score at 4.03/1
Back Slovenia and Greece to both score at 2.111/10
Dan Fitch 2020/21 Season P/L
Staked: 0.00 pts
Returned: 0.00 pts
P/L: 0.00 pts