Southampton v Leeds
Tuesday 18 May, 18:00
Live on Sky Sports Premier League and Mix
Stuart Dallas' shot-taking was mentioned on these pages - and proved profitable - a few weeks ago but the market still doesn't appear to have caught up.
The Northern Irishman, widely expected to be named Leeds' player of the season, has played in midfield over the last month or so, having often appeared at full-back earlier in the campaign.
Unsurprisingly, that more advanced role has led to more shots with Dallas having now hit two or more in five of his last seven games.
Add in his most recent international appearance and he's landed managed this in six of eight.
2+ shots for Dallas in this game is chalked up at 11/8 which looks more than fair.
The 30-year-old had three efforts at goal in Saturday's demolition of Burnley and, as ever, Leeds can be expected to stride forward when given the opportunity. There should be plenty of shots in this game - only four teams have had more shots than Leeds this season, while only three have conceded more.
Enhancing Dallas' chance is the absence of the injured Ryan Bertrand on the left of the Southampton defence.
Mohammed Salisu and Jack Stephens have been pushed out wide in recent games - not the natural position of either man - and Dallas' ability to drift into threatening positions from the right of the Leeds midfield should cause the home defence problems.
Recommended bets
Column P/L
Staked: 56pts
Returned: 48.42pts
P/L: -7.58pts
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