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Barisic carded in 7 of 13 Old Firm games
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Over 3.5 landed in 20 of last 22
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Double pays around 23/10
Rangers v Celtic
Think Old Firm, think cards.
This fixture has seen at least four cards in 20 of its 22 runnings over the past five years which is as close to a guarantee as you'll find.
The referee for this renewal, John Beaton, will be taking charge of the Glasgow derby for the fifth time and all four of his previous appointments have seen him produce at least four cards.
His last - at the back end of last season - brought seven and with this looking very much like must-win for Rangers in the title race, a feisty atmosphere both on and off the pitch at Ibrox looks assured.
Over 3.5 cards obviously looks solid for Bet Builders, albeit it's a very short price.
So where does the value lie?
Well, I like Borna Barisic in the 'player shown a card' market.
Following his World Cup exploits, the Croatian returned to the Rangers starting XI during their midweek success over Motherwell and should feature again here.
The left-back has been carded in seven of his 13 Old Firm derbies which immediately makes his odds of 11/5 looks large.
The last of those cards came in this season's drubbing at Parkhead where direct opponent Liel Abada scored twice.
Barisic was also carded by Beaton in that game at the end of last season.
With eight cards in 15 starts in the Old Firm game, Alfredo Morelos is the obvious choice in this market but odds of evens give nothing away.
9/4 about a sending off looks better - that's landed in six of the last 16, while Beaton has produced a red card in five of his nine Premiership matches so far this season.
That's tempting but the fact Beaton is yet to show a red in an Old Firm game is somewhat off-putting and so I'm happy to stick with Barisic and over 3.5 cards, a double which pays around 23/10.
One non-cards angle worth a mention relates to Barisic again.
Only Celtic's Matt O'Riley (eight) has more assists than Barisic's seven in this season's Premiership and we're sure to see his raids down the left which produce plenty of crosses into the box.
Obviously it will be more of a struggle for Rangers to score against a team who have won all bar one of their league games so far but if they do then there's a good chance Barisic is the creator.
He's 5/1 for an assist with O'Riley also having potential in the market at 7/2.
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Recommended bets
Back Borna Barisic to be shown a card & over 3.5 cards in the match @ around 3.39/4Column P/L 2022/23
Staked: 174pts
Returned: 204.19pts
P/L: +30.19pts