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Nublense drawn three of last five home games
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Neither side has scored in last two games - Nublense for three
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Back a 7/2 Bet Builder on the draw
It's an all-Chile contest in the Copa Sudamericana as Nublense host Audax Italiano in the first leg of their last 32 tie.
They're closely matched sides with just a point between them in the middle of the Chilean Primera Division table and they're both in pretty poor form.
Audax have gone three games without a win but Nublense can double that with their six-game winless run, meaning that even though they're home favourites they have plenty of question marks about them.
Leg 1: Back the draw
Two sides not in great form in the first leg of a Copa Sudamericana derby tie has all the hallmarks of a draw to me - one that neither side will mind too much.
Nublense have drawn three of their last five and having gone three games without a goal they'll be wary of giving anything away.
Audax have also failed to score in their last two games, but they're a pretty solid away side so add all that up and 9/43.25 on the draw certainly appeals.
Leg 2: Back the HT draw
So what we're actually backing here is Draw/Draw in the HT/FT here which comes in at 7/24.50 and makes sense if we're backing a stalemate after 90 minutes.
For starters, with neither side troubling the scorers of late it's hardly set up to be a goalfest, and with stakes high and both in bad form then a cagey start is understandable.
Nublense's last three games have been 0-0 at half-time and if we had to that'd be the bet for the first-half scoreline here, but we'll just stick to the draw in case a couple of goals do come.
Recommended bets
Back Draw/Draw HT/FT in Nublense v Audax Italiano @ 7/24.50COLUMN P/L
Staked: 19ptsReturned: 15.12pts
P/L: -3.88pts
2022/23 P/L: +68.69pts