Bet of the Day

Saturday Football Tips: Back repeat offenders to sin again

  • Andy Schooler
  • Published on
  • Updated on
  • 1:30 min read
Newcastle defender Fabian Schar
Fabian Schar: Three cards in five games this season

"(Adam Smith) looks big for another (card( here at 13/5 given he’s set to go up against Allan Saint-Maximin, the league’s most prolific dribbler so far this season."

Our football props column is eyeing a juicy 28/1 winner on Saturday with cards and shots picks for Saturday's Newcastle v Bournemouth Premier League game...

There are some tempting props plays surrounding Saturday's sole 3pm kick-off in the Premier League and I'm going to combine three of them for a near-28/1 shot.

Let's start with Bournemouth full-back Adam Smith, a player who's received four cards in his opening six games of the season.

He looks big for another here at 13/5 given he's set to go up against Allan Saint-Maximin, the league's most prolific dribbler so far this season - and one who's looked in fine form.

Admittedly the Frenchman is a doubt with a thigh strain but even if Saint-Maximin doesn't play, Smith's long-term card record is decent - he picked up six in 20 Championships outings last season, while his last Premier League campaign brought seven in 24.

In the same market, the hosts' Fabian Schar is back to his old tricks again with three cards in five appearances this season.

That run has taken his Premier League career figures to 29 cards in 89 games yet he's 16/5 for a card here.

Referee Craig Pawson is a good one for cards bettors too. He was the fifth strictest for cards last season, averaging over four per game, while it's worth noting that both of these teams are averaging exactly two per match so far this term.

To complete the Bet Builder, I'm going to add Newcastle defender Sven Botman for 1+ shot.

He's landed this in three of four starts so far for his new club, who are second only to Liverpool in terms of shots from set plays this season. Meanwhile, only three teams have conceded more set-piece shots than Bournemouth.

Botman is set to keep his place in the team ahead of another good defender for shots, Dan Burn, who would be interchangeable in this bet. Keep an eye on the team news.

The treble pays just shy of 28/1 and looks worth a poke, especially for those yet to use their £2 free Bet Builder this weekend.

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Column P/L 2022/23

Staked: 90pts
Returned: 111.71pts
P/L: +21.71pts

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Andy Schooler avatar

Andy Schooler

Andy Schooler has been writing about sport for more than 20 years.

Prices quoted in copy are correct at time of publication but liable to change.

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