Gremio v Sport Recife
Tuesday 23:00
We're picking up the baton in Brazil today, where tonight's Serie B game brings sixth-placed Sport Recife to third-placed Gremio. We like the plump price on the hosts to get the job done quickly.
Gremio are W11-D2-L2 on their own patch this term and - this is the kind of stat we love - they've been leading at half-time in all 11 of those victories.
Recife arrive at Arena do Gremio having lost on all of their last five road trips. And here's another stat we love: the Lions have been behind at the break in all five of those recent defeats.
Gremio are odds-on to beat them tonight, but those strong trends are empowering us to take the longer odds on the hosts to be winning at half time and full time.