-
Milan chasing top four - have 11 home wins this season
-
Leao has four multiple shots on target games in last 12
-
Back 11/2 Bet Builder on Leao & Tonali
AC Milan suffered that hugely disappointing Champions League exit at the hands of bitter rivals Inter on Tuesday, but they need to shake that off if they're to try and get back into the competition.
They're four points off Lazio in fourth with just three games left so need wins and a large slice of help - but they should at least get three points here against already relegated Sampdoria.
And I think the hosts will want to give their fans something to shout about, so our Bet Builder is based on a convincing AC Milan win.
Leg 1: AC Milan to win to nil
Milan aren't in the best form, but they've still won 11 of 17 Serie A games at the San Siro this season - scoring 33 goals and letting in 18.
Sampdoria have won just twice on the road, and not since January, and have drawn a blank in four of their last six road trips.
Already relegated with little to play for, I don't think the visitors get a look in.
Leg 2: Rafael Leao 2+ shots on target
Rafael Leao came back from injury in the second leg against Inter but it was too little too late, but Milan's best player will look to give them a boost here.
He's had 2+ shots on target in four of his last 12, but has been letting fly plenty of times during that spell.
Leao will have plenty to prove and against side that gives up so many goals and chances then Even money on 2+ shots on target looks a good bet.
Leg 3: Sandro Tonali 1+ shot on target
We'll complete out Bet Builder with a shot on target for midfielder Sandro Tonali, who is not known for his attacking with just two goals all season.
Tonali has had 46 shots though this season with 16 hitting the target, and has a big surge in attempts recently.
He had four efforts on goal in his last Serie A game against Spezia, and three in the first leg against Inter - and especially if Sampdoria hold out for a while he'll be coaxed into having a few more efforts himself.
Recommended bets
Back Milan to beat Sampdoria to nil, Leao 2+ shots on target & Tonali 1+ shots on target @ 11/2COLUMN P/L FOR 2022/23
Staked: 302ptsReturned: 347.56pts
P/L: +45.66pts