Premier League Opta Stats: Hammers can pick off Cherries in MD12

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Will David Moyes' West Ham win big on Monday night?

Following the midweek round of Premier League games we quickly move onto Matchday 12 and Mike Norman has an Opta stat and bet for each of the 10 games...

  • Liverpool looking for four wins on the spin
  • Champions look good for goals at the Etihad
  • Chelsea v Man Utd the game of the day
  • A 4/1 best bet for Monday Night Football

Nottingham Forest v Liverpool

Reds to continue recent winning run

The Opta Stat:

"Nottingham Forest are on the longest current winless run in the Premier League, drawing three and losing six times since beating West Ham 1-0 in August. They've failed to score on five occasions in this run, and conceded 21 goals."

The Betfair Bet:

Read Mark O'Haire's match preview and tips here!

Everton v Crystal Palace

Eagles set for another goalless draw

The Opta Stat:

"Crystal Palace are winless in their last six Premier League away games (D4 L2), with their last two such games finishing goalless. Only one team has ever drawn 0-0 in 3+ consecutive away games in the competition, with Fulham having a run of four in December 2008."

The Betfair Bet:

Manchester City v Brighton

Home goals guaranteed at the Etihad

The Opta Stat:

"Manchester City have won each of their last nine Premier League home games, scoring at least three goals each time. There have only been two longer such runs in English top-flight history, both recorded by Aston Villa (12 between March/December 1897 and 13 between December 1930 and September 1931)."

The Betfair Bet:

Check out Ste Tudor's recommended Bet Builders for all Saturday's games here!

Chelsea v Manchester United

Blues strong at Stamford Bridge

The Opta Stat:

"Chelsea are unbeaten in their last eight Premier League home games (W5 D3), winning the last three in a row. They last won more consecutively at Stamford Bridge between February and July 2020, under Frank Lampard (6) ."

The Betfair Bet:

Read Kevin Hatchard's match preview and tips here!

Aston Villa v Brentford

Bees set for another draw

The Opta Stat:

"Brentford have alternated between drawing (4) and winning (4) each of their eight league meetings with Aston Villa this century, beating them 2-1 last time out in January"

The Betfair Bet:

Leeds v Fulham

Hosts to grab vital win

The Opta Stat:

"Fulham have won just one of their last 10 Premier League away games (D3 L6), beating Nottingham Forest 3-2 last month. The Cottagers have conceded at least twice in each of their last four on the road, however."

The Betfair Bet:

Southampton v Arsenal

Gunners to shoot down leaky hosts

The Opta Stat:

"Southampton have kept just one clean sheet in their last 11 Premier League home games (21 goals conceded), though that did come in a 1-0 victory against Arsenal in April."

The Betfair Bet:

Wolves v Leicester

Rare away win for Foxes

The Opta Stat:

"Leicester's Patson Daka has been involved in three goals in his last three Premier League away games (2 goals, 1 assist), more than he had in his first 14 on the road (2 assists). He's one of just two Leicester players to score more than once on the road this season, along with James Maddison."

The Betfair Bet:

Tottenham v Newcastle

Spurs to prevail in entertaining affair

The Opta Stat:

"Tottenham have won each of their last eight Premier League home games, scoring 22 goals and conceding five. Only once have they had a longer such run in the competition, winning 14 in a row between November 2016 and May 2017."

The Betfair Bet:

West Ham v Bournemouth

Moyes' men to hammer Cherries

The Opta Stat:

"West Ham have won their last two in the Premier League at the London Stadium, beating Wolves 2-0 and Fulham 3-1. They last won three in a row by a margin of 2+ goals each time in February 2014 at Upton Park."

The Betfair Bet:

Recommended bets

Back West Ham -2 v Bournemouth @ 5.04/1

Opta Stats P/L

Recommended Bet Of The Week

Staked: 5 pts

Returned: 4.0 pts

P/L: -1.0 pts

MD11 Overall

Staked: 9pts

Returned: 6.73 pts

P/L: -2.27 pts

Football... only bettor - listen here

Mike Norman

Sport fanatic with a particular love of football, golf, snooker and horse-racing

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