Chelsea v Brighton Tips - Fouls a foot
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Sunday, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports
Brighton annihilated Aston Villa last weekend. The Villans were four goals and a man down before half-time and if it wasn't for the merciful Seagulls, Unai Emery's side could have lost by a few more goals.
My favourite bet of last weekend's tipsheet came from that game, unfortunately it was scuppered by the red card, but I think the highline is worth another go, even if the odds have shortened since last then.
The bet is Luka Vuskovic to commit 3+ fouls at 7/24.50 with the Sportsbook.
He committed one last Sunday before Joao Gomes' dismissal but didn't get a chance to commit another. Annoyingly, his centre back partner Lewis Dunk committed two.
Anyway, Vuskovic has averaged 0.92 fouls per 90 across his previous two seasons in Europe, racked up seven in Brighton's last two pre-season friendlies and was carded in the opening 45 minutes of his sides Europe Conference League qualifier first leg against Tromsoe.
There's usually plenty of needle in this fixture, last season there was a combined total of 11 cards and the Seagulls committed 31 fouls.
Plus, the Blues front three looks menacing. Cole Palmer, Joao Pedro and Morgan Rogers combined to complete nine dribbles and draw five fouls at Craven Cottage on Monday.
Back Luka Vuskovic to commit 3+ fouls
Leeds v Brentford Tips - Take a shot on Bees full back
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Sunday, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports
The season has only just begun but this certainly feels like a clash between two of the inform sides after a faultless start from both.
Leeds beat Nottingham Forest at the City Ground in the Premier League last weekend, scoring late to nick all three points, although a draw would have probably been a fair result.
Daniel Farke's side were back in Nottingham on Tuesday, this time on Carabao Cup duty, where they beat Forest again.
Opponents Brentford thumped Tottenham 3-0 in their first league game, then battered Birmingham 6-1 in the cup in midweek.
As the odds reflect, these two are almost impossible to split and they have shared the spoils in the last three league meetings.
Instead of getting bogged down in the 1x2, the player shot market looks a better way in at Elland Road.
The Bees had 26 shots in their first game and right back Michael Kayode had four, one of which finding the net.
Interestingly three were with his head and two were from set pieces. The latter is particularly interesting because last season, Leeds ranked joint-third for goals conceded from dead balls (17).
So, at 11/102.11, 11/26.50 and 25/126.00 respectively, backing Kayode to have 1+, 2+ and 3+ shots all appeal.
Back Michael Kayode 1+ shots
Back Michael Kayode 2+ shots
Back Michael Kayode 3+ shots
Sunderland v Fulham Tips - Go for goals
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Sunday, 14:00
Live on Sky Sports
Sunderland lost 2-1 to Ipswich last weekend and looked a bit of the pace.
It's a defeat which has seen them shorten by a point with the Sportsbook to be relegated, with the Black Cats now into 2/13.00 to go down.
And you get the sense Regis Le Bris side could be looking over their shoulder this campaign.
They were the biggest over-achievers in terms of underlying data last season as only Wolves and Burnley - both relegated - picked up fewer expected-points.
Sunderland out-performed both their expected-goals and expected-goals-against and they relied heavily on their home form, taking 33 of their 54 points on their own patch and only lost four matches there.
It feels like their luck could be running out though.
On Sunday they host Fulham, another side expected to struggle this season.
The Cottagers will have to quickly adapt to life without Marco Silva, the man who established them as a top flight club after a couple of yo-yoing seasons.
They've lost plenty of experience this summer and have gambled with the appointment of Alvaro Arbeloa, a relatively inexperienced manager.
His side played well for spells against Chelsea on Monday, losing out in a five goal-thriller.
Goals could be the best way into this clash at the Stadium of Light, with over 2.5 goals priced at 1/12.00 with the Sportsbook.
But I am sitting this one out from a betting point of view.
Manchester United v Ipswich Tips - Shaw for a card
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Sunday, 16:30
Live on Sky Sports
Luke Shaw looks slightly over price shown a card at 7/24.50 with the Sportsbook.
The Manchester United full back picked up nine cards last season and has a career cards per 90 average of 0.27.
Shaw didn't manage a foul on matchday one against Hull, but I think that was more a consequence of the Tiger's narrow 5-4-1 formation. In fact, as a side, the Red Devils only completed six tackles and committed nine fouls last Saturday.
As a team, they should be less passive against Ipswich. The Tractor Boys were fouled 14 times by Sunderland in their Premier League curtain raiser with Adbul Fatawu, Shaw's direct opponent, drawing the most of any player on his side (3).
Back Luke Shaw to be shown a card
Jimmy's Trixie - Back my best bets at 130/1131.00
Back Vuskovic 3+ fouls, Kayode 2+ shots and Shaw to be shown a card
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Recommended bets
Back Luka Vuskovic to commit 3+ fouls @ 7/24.50 (0.5pt)
Back Michael Kayode 1+ shots @ 11/102.11 (2.5pt)
Back Michael Kayode 2+ shots @ 11/26.50 (1pt)
Back Michael Kayode 3+ shots @ 25/126.00 (0.5pt)
Back Luke Shaw to be shown a card @ 7/24.50 (0.5pt)
Back Vuskovic 3+ fouls, Kayode 2+ shots and Shaw to be shown a card @ 130/1131.00 (1pt total stake)