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Endo's foul stats are shocking
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Emotional Jesus backed for a card
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Anfield bookings double boosted to 18/119.00
Leg 1 - Back Wataru Endo to be booked
Liverpool and Japan midfielder Wataru Endo has rapidly adjusted to life in the Premier League and cemented his importance in Jurgen Klopp's starting 11 after joining from Stuttgart for what now appears to be a bargain £16.2m.
Endo was taken off with 30 minutes to go in their midweek League Cup win over West Ham and looks a certainty to retain his place in this huge clash in the title race. The winner of this match will be top of the league at Christmas which is huge psychology wise.
Endo's fouls stats this season are fairly shocking.He has averaged a huge 3.44 fouls per game and been fouled himself 2.22 times per game, putting him in the 99th percentile for combined fouls. He is competing in an average of 17 duels per game and completing 2.22 successful tackles.
Endo has been booked three times in the Premier League in just 446 minutes, averaging 0.61 cards per game, putting him in the 97th percentile for bookings per minute. I
n 976 minutes played for Liverpool in all competitions, Endo has averaged a booking every 195 minutes. At 7/24.50 on the single, there is serious value to be had here, but we are adding him to a tasty double with a certain Arsenal forward.
Leg 2 - Back Gabriel Jesus to be booked
Arsenal and Brazil forward Gabriel Jesus is back, fit and has three goals and two assists in his last six games. Jesus has three yellow cards to his name in the Premier League and four in all competitions.
He is averaging 0.31 cards per game putting him in the 80th percentile. Jesus is committing an average of 2.04 fouls per game and is fouled 1.56 times putting him in the 90th percentile for combined fouls per game. Jesus is competing in 17 duels per game on average.
Jesus is clearly a very emotional player who often receives his cards for dissent or accumulation of fouls. Given the pressure of this match and what is at stake, Jesus has been priced at just 11/43.75 as a single.
The match official - Chris Kavanagh
The man in officiating Saturday Evening's big game is Chris Kavanagh. Kavanagh has been refereeing in the Premier League for over seven years and has lots of experience officiating both sides and big clashes in the title race.
Kavanagh has officiated 10 games in the Premier League so far this season, awarding an average of 4.4 cards per game and has also shown a red card. He is awarding an average of 21.5 fouls per game which is just below average.
Liverpool and Arsenal games (home vs away) average a very low 2.76 cards in the Premier League this season, which is substantially below the league average of 4.96.
With so much at stake in this match we can envisage a higher-than-average amount of cards shown. Both sides have played a lot of football too, and heavier legs lead to more cynical fouls generally speaking. There were eight cards shown last time these sides met at Anfield.
This Booking Double has had a boost from 15/1 to 18/1 and can be found here:
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