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Hosts can't score so Newcastle win to nil appeals at 6/42.50
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Newcastle won the reverse fixture 4-0
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Jacob Murphy can lay on another for Alexander Isak
Tuesday Football Superboost
Before his injury Bukayo Saka was often among the shots for Arsenal as well as being a main contender to be foulded. In fact, in eight of his last 10 starts for the Gunners Saka registered at least one shot on target as well as being fouled at least once in the same game.
Against Real Madrid on Tuesday night you can back Saka to have one or more shot on target and to be fouled one or more times at the super-boosted price of 1/12.00 (from 8/131.61). To take advantage just click on the odd in the below bet banner to go directly to the pre-loaded betslip.
Back Bukayo Saka 1+ Shot on Target & to be Fouled 1+ times. Was 8/13
Leicester v Newcastle
Monday 07 April, 20:00
Live on Sky Sports Main Event & Sky Sports Premier League
Leicester almost gone
The writing has been on the wall for a while when it comes to Leicester's battle to avoid relegation.
And with Wolves winning against Ipswich on Saturday, the Foxes are now a massive 15 points behind fourth-bottom Wolves. Game over.
What is particulary hard to take is how Leicester are going out with a whimper.
Since winning at Spurs, they've lost eight straight games (seven in the Premier League and an FA Cup exit at Manchester United). And if you go further back, it's 15 defeats in 17. Abysmal.
Magpies eye Champions League return
The start of Leicester's shocking run of 15 losses out of 17 actually began against Newcastle. It was a heavy one, a 4-0 reverse at St James' Park.
Looking back, it was the first defeat for Ruud van Nistelrooy since he took over although, despite the loss, they headed home to the east midlands that day in 16th place and still two points above the relegation zone.
But while Leicester have dropped like a stone, Newcastle have rewritten history by finally getting their hands on a trophy.
That deserved Carabao Cup final win over Liverpool sparked wild celebrations and a bus parade but this is no time to be resting on laurels.
Newcastle still have genuine hopes of grabbing a Champions League spot and Premier League wins either side of that Wembley win (1-0 at West Ham and 2-1 at home to Brentford) suggest it's a very realistic target. On the exchange they're 2.89/5 for a Top 4 finish although top five is likely to be enough for a return to Europe's top table.
Newcastle win to nil looks a must
The odds are predictable with Newcastle 1/21.50 to bank a third straight Premier League win. Leicester are 11/26.50 to secure a first home Premier League victory since December 3rd while The Draw is 16/54.20. The Foxes last had a draw 18 games ago.
Leicester aren't just losing; they can't even score a goal. Van Nistelrooy's side have fired blanks in their last seven Premier League matches and their woeful tally of 11 home goals is the same as Southampton's.
Only leaders Liverpool and third-placed Nottingham Forest have managed more than Newcastle's tally of seven away wins. The Magpies have bagged a healthy tally of 23 away goals in their 15 road trips.
Therefore, Newcastle to win to nil looks almost a must at 6/42.50 and that's the main bet here.
It's good to note that the Magpies have kept clean sheets against the Foxes in each of their last three top-flight meetings.
Back Newcastle to win to nil
Head for Magpies deadly duo on Bet Builder
Looking back to the first meeting between the pair and the scorers were Alexander Isak, Bruno Guimaraes and Jacob Murphy, who bagged a brace on the half hour and hour mark.
The latter is a consideration to score but five of his six Premier League goals have come at home.
The more appealing way to play the impressive Murphy is for an assist. He has nine this season and that puts him joint fifth in the charts.
Despite that, his Anytime Assist price of 7/24.50 is slightly higher than his To Score price of 10/34.33.
One great stat is that Murphy has assisted Isak eight times this season which is getting into the realms of Son and Kane.
Isak has scored eight goals in his last six Premier League appearances against
sides starting the day in the relegation zone so Murphy to assist and Isak to score in a Bet Builder could land in one move. It pays around 5/16.00.
There are slight doubts over Isak's fitness but if he plays no part we'll still get the Murphy assist price of 7/24.50 if he sets one up.
Back Jacob Murphy to Assist and Alexander Isak to Score on Bet Builder
Now read all our Premier League tips and content!
Recommended bets
1pt - Newcastle to win to nil @ 6/42.50 1pt - Back Jacob Murphy to Assist and Alexander Isak to Score on Bet Builder @ 5/16.00Ste Tudor's Build Up Tips
Back Murphy to have more shots than Isak
Jacob Murphy and Alexander Isak have started 19 league matches together this season. In only two of those has Murphy taken on more shots than the prolific Swede.
Add in that Isak is Newcastle's attacking focal point, the player designed to get on the end of chances carved up by the likes of Murphy, and the odds tilt very much in the striker's favour to have more attempts on goal this evening than his colleague.
Add in too that Isak is a goal machine, boasting 19 goals in his last 20 league outings, and furthermore has an insatiable hunger to improve on this tremendous return, and clearly it's only right and proper that the 25-year-old is short-priced to win this particular Build Up bet.
Yet this isn't about confirming who should be the strong favourite between the two. This is about flipping it and seeing if there is value to be found by backing the alternative outcome. And in this instance there absolutely is.
For one thing, the duo each posted three shots apiece against Brentford last Wednesday and indeed matched each other shot for shot at home to West Ham in the preceding fixture. After enjoying a purple patch at the tail-end of 2024, Murphy is again hitting a rich vein of form, racking up three key passes vs the Bees and assisting for good measure. He has compensated well for the recent loss of Anthony Gordon and stepped up as Newcastle main attacking threat. Besides Isak of course.
What is also pertinent is when we go through those 19 games per 90 we find that Isak has only out-fired Murphy by more than a single shot in four contests. All season-long therefore it's been close between the pair and now one of them is raising their game, all while shouldering extra responsibility. Against Leicester last December, Murphy took on four shots, scoring from two of them. If he matches that shot-count again here it makes his 3/14.00 price tempting for sure.
Back Murphy to have more shots than Isak
Staked: 65.50pts
Returned: 51.17pts
P/L: -14.33pts
Previous:
2023/2024 P/L: -£20.79
2022/2023 P/L: +£16.79
2021/2022 P/L: +£8.69
2020/2021 P/L: +£3.06