Valur v KA Akureyri
Thursday 19:00
In the States yesterday, Real Salt Lake sneaked past Columbus Crew 1-0 to land a fourth straight home win for themselves and a third win of the week for us. Happy Independence Day.
We're back in Europe today for a match from Iceland's top-tier Urvalsdeild. Valur, the two-time reigning champions, are down in eighth place, locked together on 13 points with ninth-placed KA Akureyri.
Valur won this fixture 3-1 last season and Olafur Johannesson would bite your hand off for a similar result this evening. Conceding a goal shouldn't be a problem: the hosts have shipped at least one in 17/19 at Hlidarendi. At the other end, they've scored themselves in 44/50 since Johannesson took charge. Two-thirds of those matches (33/50) have delivered Over 2.5 Goals in total.
KA Akureyri have lost 4/6 on the road this term, despite scoring in 5/6. Only top-of-the-table KR Reykjavik have shut them out. At the other end, they've notched just a single clean sheet themselves. Since the start of last season, 12/17 of their away matches have reached Over 2.5 Goals and that record too suggests there's value in backing the same outcome at 1.9010/11 today.
Recommended bets
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.9010/11 in Valur v KA Akureyri
2019 P/L (1pt per bet)
Staked: 92pts
Returned: 103.17pts
P/L: +11.17pts