Valur v Grindavik
Sunday 17:00
Henan's 1-0 Super League success over Shenzhen lost us our money in China yesterday, but we made it back in Iceland, where Breidablik came from behind to beat IBV 3-1 and land our Asian Handicap bet. Win today's bet from Iceland and we will finish the week in profit.
Two-time reigning champions Valur are currently bottom of the Urvalsdeild table, but they have been consistent in still delivering goals-laden home games and we like the price on Over 2.5 Goals for this afternoon's encounter with Grindavik.
No fewer than 17 of Valur's last 18 league games at Hlidarendi have delivered Over 2.5 Goals, including 4/5 this term. Olafur Johannesson's men won their last home outing 5-1 and might have turned a corner - just in time for the visit of a team they beat 4-0 at home last season.
Since Grindavik returned to Iceland's top flight in 2017, more than half of their away matches have been high scorers (14/25). This season, it's 2/3 that have cleared Over 2.5 Goals; in the last year, it's 7/10. All of these trends suggest Over 2.5 Goals is a deserving favourite and we're happy to take that bet at 1.804/5.
Recommended bets
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.804/5 in Valur v Grindavik
2017 P/L (1pt per bet)
Staked: 88pts
Returned: 97.65pts
P/L: +9.65pts