Football Bet of the Day: Portugal is the place to be
Tobias Gourlay's spending Monday in Portugal, where he's hoping Tondela and Portimonense can serve up another high scorer
"Despite their stronger position in the overall table, Antonio Folha's visitors have conceded at least twice in 10/13 away games this season"
Tondela v Portimonense
Hoffenheim didn't take kindly to Kev's suggestion that they might struggle to overcome struggling Augsburg in Germany yesterday. Julian Nagelsmann's men scored early and often in beating their hosts 4-0 and denying Kev a winning finish to last week.
We're taking the wheel in Portugal, where the Monday-night Primeira Liga game pitches relegation-threatened Tondela at home to ninth-placed Portimonense. This fixture finished 2-2 last season, the reverse fixture saw Portimonense win 3-2 on home turf earlier this term and we fancy there will be a few more goals today.
Pepa's Tondela have delivered Over 2.5 Goals in 5/9 at Estadio Joao Cardoso Tondela. Ever since Pepa took charge in 2016, the hosts have found clean sheets hard to come by, conceding in 31/39, including 11/13 in the current campaign. At the other end, the Gold & Greens have scored themselves in 9/13.
Despite their stronger position in the overall table, Antonio Folha's visitors have conceded at least twice in 10/13 away games this season. They've scored themselves in 8/9. With 5/8 producing Over 2.5 Goals in total, we think there's a touch of value about the near-evens price on tonight's match being another high scorer.
2019 P/L (1pt per bet)
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ [1.95] in Tondela v Portimonense