"Guimaraes have lost nine straight on their travels, but scored at least once in 9/12"
Two Primeira Liga teams with little to play for could light up southern Europe this evening, says Tobias Gourlay
Tondela v Guimaraes
Saturday 18:15
Ross County put the brakes on the Jags yesterday, pegging their hosts back to a 1-1 draw in last night's Scottish Prem game.
Today we move onto the Portuguese Prem, where ninth-placed Tondela host 10th-placed Guimaraes. With just one round of the league season to go after this one, it's a mid-table battle with nothing riding on it. Both teams are already in good scoring form and we're backing them to deliver Over 2.5 Goals this evening.
Pepa's Tondela have scored in each of their last 15 at the Joao Cardoso. They've conceded in 12/15, with the same fraction going Over 2.5 Goals.
Guimaraes have lost nine straight on their travels, but scored at least once in 9/12. With 8/12 producing at least three match goals, we make Over 2.5 Goals a value bet at close to even money.