St Etienne v Monaco
Friday 19:45 (Live on BT Sport 2)
Chaves raised hell in Portugal last night. Kick-off in their game with Benfica was delayed by heavy rain. Nevertheless, the visitors twice took the lead, but twice they were pegged back and our bet was brought down as the game finished 2-2. We move on to France.
French domestic football has a reputation for producing few goals. It's a well-earned reputation - Ligue 1 games are lower scoring than games in Europe's other big leagues - and it impacts prices on goals markets in individual Ligue 1 matches. Sometimes it can give you a big price on Over 2.5 Goals, even when two teams' individual form guides both point towards Over 2.5 Goals. That's the situation we're in today and we're ready to make the most of it.
Since Jean-Louis Gasset took charge of St Etienne, 10 of their 15 Ligue 1 games at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard have delivered Over 2.5 Goals. This season, it's 2/3 high scorers. The Greens have scored themselves in 13/15 and conceded in 12/15.
Leonardo Jardim has been in charge of Monaco since the start of the 2014/15 campaign. In his reign so far, 58% of Monaco's Ligue 1 away matches have produced Over 2.5 Goals (46/79). Since January this year, it's 10/12 high scorers, including 2/3 this term.
With both sides tending towards Over 2.5 Goals in similar previous matches, 2.206/5 looks a very generous offer from the layers.
Recommended bets
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.206/5 in St Etienne v Monaco
2018 P/L (1pt per bet)
Staked: 126pts
Returned: 139.95pts
P/L: +13.95pts