Tobias Gourlay channels the spirit of Messi and Ronaldo as he goes in search of a Spanish hat trick
"The team from the Madrid suburbs have scored in 7/8 at home to teams from outside the top six. Six of those games delivered Over 2.5 Goals"
Rayo Vallecano v Granada
Valencia 2 Deportivo La Coruna 0 in the Mestalla last night.
That's 2/2 in Spain. Why would we go anywhere else today?
Rayo Vallecano's La Liga home games have leaned towards Over 2.5 Goals for a while: Paco Jemez has seen 32/47 cross the goal line.
Running 13th, the team from the Madrid suburbs have scored in 7/8 at home to teams from outside the top six. Six of those games delivered Over 2.5 Goals.
There's a similar pattern from last season: Rayo scored in 9/11 at home to teams that finished outside the top eight and the same fraction ended with Over 2.5 Goals.
Since Abel Resino took over seven games ago, 19th-placed Granada have played away to two other bottom-half sides: they drew 2-2 at Deportivo La Coruna and lost 1-2 at Levante. Overall they have scored in 5/7.
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.0421/20 in Rayo Vallecano v Granada
2015 P/L (1pt per bet)