Football Bet of the Day: Beavers can't dam the flow of goals

Pacos Ferreira v Guimaraes
Monday 20:00 (Live on Betfair Live)

Despite some blitz attack that brought two goals after 90 minutes were up, Mjondalen and Aalesunds fell a goal short of Kevin's target for them. 2-1 to the visitors, but Kev was definitely on the right lines: yesterday afternoon, all eight games in the Tippeligaen delivered Over 2.5 Goals, with 6/8 going Over 3.5 Goals and all 16 teams hitting the back of the net at least once. Some Nordic food for thought ahead of the final round of the season this Sunday. We'll probably see you there.

Meantime, our shift begins in Portugal, where there's a big price on Over 2.5 Goals for Guimaraes' trip to Pacos Ferreira this evening.

In the last five seasons, this Primeira Liga fixture has finished 2-2, 1-3, 2-1, 1-5 and 2-1. The reverse fixture has also been high scoring in that period, with both teams netting in 5/5 clashes in Guimaraes.

Sergio Conceicao's first game in charge of Guimaraes recently brought a 1-5 defeat at top-of-the-table Sporting. The important thing for us is that the hapless visitors scored again: excluding a couple of games at Porto (who don't concede home goals), they've hit the net in 10/11 road games. Going further back to the start of last season, two-thirds of their away matches (14/21) have delivered Over 2.5 Goals.

The Beavers have scored in 18/20 at Estadio da Mata Real, with 11 of the most recent 18 breaking through the goals barrier. Despite what the market says, we reckon there's half a chance they top it again tonight.

Recommended Bet
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.506/4 in Pacos Ferreira v Guimaraes