Tobias Gourlay's hoping for an unusually quiet night in the Netherlands as TOP Oss travel to NEC Nijmegen
"Home and away, TOP Oss have failed to score in 5/6 league games"
NEC Nijmegen v TOP Oss
In Peru last night, Melgar sneaked a 1-0 home win over Deportivo Municipal that left us short of the entertainment we required. Today, however, the same result would be very welcome.
Domestic football in the Netherlands is chock-full of goals and that means you get some big prices on Under 2.5 Goals, even where teams' individual form might not be so exciting. That's the case in the Eerste Divisie tonight, where [2.86] looks a very big price for Under 2.5 Goals as goal-shy TOP Oss travel to NEC Nijmegen.
Home and away, Klaas Wels's TOP have failed to score in 5/6 league games. Three of those matches finished completely goalless and five of them ended with no more than one goal. On the road, their last three matches have produced just a single goal between them. Since the start of term, 4/5 road games have delivered Under 2.5 Goals.
Jack de Gier's NEC have served up Under 2.5 Goals in three of their last four at home and away. On the home front this term, it's 3/5 low scorers. Since the middle of last term, it's 8/13. Going all the way back to the start of 2017/18, they've conceded more than once in just 2/24. There's a fair chance of fireworks at Goffertstadion tonight - this is domestic Dutch football after all - but recent form suggests the price on a damp squib is too good to refuse.
2018 P/L (1pt per bet)
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ [2.86] in NEC Nijmegen v TOP Oss