Monday Football Tips: Swede dreams of shut-out win for AIK

Bartosz Grzelak
Bartosz Grzelak's AIK side can claim another win in their title bid

Our football props column has picked out a 15/8 shot for Monday's action in Sweden - one that's won in six of one of the teams' 11 games this season.

"Orebro have lost eight of 11 so far and six of those defeats have been suffered without scoring."

Back AIK to win to nil @ 15/8

Orebro v AIK
Monday 26 July, 18:00
Live on Betfair Live Video

It's back to Sweden on Monday for a props play which simply looks overpriced.

Orebro are the basement dwellers in the Allsvenskan - the country's top flight. In 11 games so far, they have scored the fewest goals (6) and conceded the most (23). They have lost their last five.

Here they face an AIK side who sit fifth and can climb into the top three if they win this game well enough. Nine points behind leaders Malmo with two games in hand, they remain very much in the title race.

Their issue has been winning on the road. They've claimed just one victory in four away games thus far and that helps explain their quote of 7/10 to win this match.

However, is that really taking into account the quality of the opposition they face here?

Orebro have lost eight of 11 so far and six of those defeats have been suffered without scoring.

Which brings us to the bet.

While 7/10 about any away win is tempting, the real value is getting 15/8 about a win to nil.

The league's worst attack faces its third-best defence here and so another shut-out would be no surprise.

Admittedly fans will be in attendance but that was also the case in Orebro's last home game and that was lost 2-0 to Hammarby, the side currently next to AIK in the table.

All in all, the 15/8 looks a price worth bagging.

Click here for more football tips, previews and betting news

Column P/L

Staked: 120pts
Returned: 99.39pts
P/L: -20.61pts

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