Djurgarden don't lose too often in their own backyard, and they're backed to beat Sirius without conceding on Monday night in Sweden.
"Djurgarden have won four out of five at home and conceded just one goal on their own turf."
Djurgarden v Sirius
Monday 19 July 18:00BST kick-off
We're a third of the way into the Swedish Allsvenskan with both Djurgarden and Sirius having played 10 games but with both operating at opposite ends of the table.
Hosts Djurgarden are six points off table toppers Malmo but have two games in hand to potentially move above them in the standings.
Sirius, meanwhile, have a four-point cushion over Ostersunds in the relegation places but would like a bit more breathing room before pushing up towards the top half of the table.
Djurgarden are big favourites for this one having lost just one of their 10 games so far and have won four of their five home contests, drawing the other, and conceding just one goal.
Sirius have just one win in six on the road and have conceded twice as many as they've scored (F7 A14) - having drawn a blank in their last two away games which resulted in heavy defeats to nil.
The way the two teams have been playing there's a big chance that Djurgarden run away with this and a win and over 2.5 goals at 3/1 on the Sportsbook is a tempter.
The main problem is the defensive record of the home side suggests Sirius will find it tough to get the ball in the back of the net, and after two recent heavy away beatings they'll be desperate to avoid another.
You're also counting on Djurgardens bagging at least three.
Instead, we're going for the more likely option of the home side to win to nil, at a decent 2.47/5on the exchange to start the week off on a winning note.
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