The daily props column will be picking out the best Bet Builder for every day of Euro 2020 and Paul Higham is kicking off with a shots and cards combo for Friday's opener...
"Both Calhanoglu and Under know what it's like to play in Italy and at the Stadio Olimpico, and they've both been firing in shots for Turkey when they've played. The opening games of the last seven Euros have seen 30 cards and four should be no problem here."
Turkey v Italy
Friday 11 June, 20:00 BST kick-off
Live on BBC1
It's here! We've had an even longer wait than usual but Euro 2020 is finally here, and we start it all off with in-form Italy facing dark horses Turkey in the opening night kick-off.
Both of these teams have their backers but are not at the top of everyone's list, which is certainly something when you consider Italy arrive riding a 27-game unbeaten run, including 22 wins.
The Azzurri are 9.28/1 now to win Euro 2020 and with their defensive record under Roberto Mancini they look primed for tournament football.
They've not lost a game in three years and have kept 20 clean sheets in the last 27 - that makes this some assignment for a Turkey side who've never beaten Italy in 10 attempts and who have also never won their opening game of the European Championship in four previous tournaments.
Make no mistake though, this will not be an easy task for the Italians despite home advantage in Rome, as Turkey took four points off tournament favourites France in qualifying, where they conceded just three goals and earned a qualifying-best eight clean sheets. They've been involved in some goalfests since then but could easily tighten things up now we're on the big stage.
I actually fancy they could manage to get a draw out of this one, which is 3.9 if you're asking, but we're not too interested in the match result here as it's a bit too close to call for my liking.
Instead, we're in search of some value in the Bet Builder market for this column and straight away I'm steering clear of any goalscorers purely because these two have both shown they can defend when they need to, and tournament openers can often be cagey affairs at the best of times.
With Italy firm favourites, it often pays to side with the underdogs in the stats betting, and that's especially true here as Turkey coach Senol Gunes has a young, vibrant side with plenty of players capable of at least giving the Italians something to think about.
Most notably are a pair of playmakers who will be no strangers to the surroundings at the Stadio Olimpico, with Roma's Cengiz Under set to play his first game back at his home stadium since a largely disappointing loan to Leicester last season.
AC Milan's Hakan Calhanoglu is a nightmare for commentators and writers, but also for opposition and he's got true quality on the ball and can be a real danger at set plays.
Calhanoglu has been having a dig with regularity for Turkey, taking 16 shots with eight on target from five games in the last Nations League, while in Euro 2020 qualifying he hit the target four times from 15 shots in five starts.
Under isn't a certain starter, but he should be given the chance to shine back on home turf, and although he's had limited time recently he's made the most of it - hitting 11 shots with seven on target in just four games (two starts) in the Nations League and five shots with two on target in two Euro Qualifying games.
Under is 1.738/11 with Calhanoglu 2.01/1 to register a shot on target, which the stats show they're more than capable of, and that Bet Builder double comes out at around 3.613/5.
We're looking to start these Euros strong though, so we're adding a third leg to this treble based around Danny Makkelle - the Dutch referee who will blow the first whistle of the tournament.
Over 3.5 cards at 1.538/15 is the rather conservative bet, for a number of reasons, as our ref averages four cards a game in internationals this season and over five in European club competitions, throw in VAR, the new handball rules and a crowd and the ingredients are there for yellow to be brandished.
On top of that, this bet has paid off in six of the last seven Euro finals openers, which have been laden with cards - 30 yellows and three reds to be exact - and the two teams involved certainly aren't scared of getting stuck in, as they say.
This leg of our Bet Builder treble carries the most confidence of the lot and lifts our odds right up to around 6.05/1.
And for more tips on this game check out the first of our bite-sized Daily Euros podcasts from the Football...Only Bettor team
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